Current Affairs Ukraine

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Success or failure can only be judged against the political aims of such an 'intervention'. Given the crux of the matter was successive waves of NATO (US) expansion, he opted to abandon deterrence in favour of compellence.

They've failed in the sense they've united all Western forces, amongst whom they've spent the last decade sowing seeds of discontent and chaos; they've pushed Finland and Sweden into the arms of NATO; they've now awoken the German war machine; they've highlighted the existential necessity for the EU to become (officially) politically and militarily active in order to remain remotely relevant long-term.

All of this whilst crippling themselves financially for a country with history of facing Russian aggression, where counter-insurgencies will be commonplace as they fight against the drawing of the iron curtain once again.
All fair points - but will sanctions, at least at this level, last for ever? Have the oligarchs really been crushed? Long term could this turn into another 'ignored' occupation like Donbas was for 8 years? Will Sweden and Finland really join NATO? Will Europe really benefit from Russia threatened by German missiles?
 
What about Afghanistan, Iran, Ireland?
Afghanistan in 1839, 1878 or 2001? Similar questions with Iran or do you mean Iraq? It's important as the context is quite different.

This isn't the thread for Ireland. That's not a glib answer by the way, but rather it's not justifiable sending this thread off on what'll be a strained discussion.
 
What I think is that your baseless generalization not grounded in a shred of evidence coupled with your impugning the entire forum with a patently libelous falsehood makes you unreliable and you should be banned. .
libelous against who?

you dont even know the meaning of the word.
 
Eventually, The Russian people will turn on Putin.

NATO is now on high alert and coming together. Even the German's have woke up. Finland and Sweden is a absolute game changer in the fact they will solidify and make Putin unhinged. I believe he may be sick as his irrational patterns recently is certainly thought provoking and dangerous.

As this evolves don't be surprised if boots on the ground eventually will be used as you can't deal with a madman that only has a one track mind.

Remember Neville Chamberlains interpretation of Adolf. History repeating itself?
 
Eventually, The Russian people will turn on Putin.

NATO is now on high alert and coming together. Even the German's have woke up. Finland and Sweden is a absolute game changer in the fact they will solidify and make Putin unhinged. I believe he may be sick as his irrational patterns recently is certainly thought provoking and dangerous.

As this evolves don't be surprised if boots on the ground eventually will be used as you can't deal with a madman that only has a one track mind.

Remember Neville Chamberlains interpretation of Adolf. History repeating itself?
"I fear all we have done is to awaken a sleeping giant and fill him with a terrible resolve." - Yamamoto*

*Questions whether he said it or not, but either way it's fitting.
 
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