Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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We are fools to ourselves when it come to Covid PR. We do well over a million tests per day and therefore find more cases. Meanwhile the likes of Germany do about 20% of our tests, get similar numbers and far more deaths, and then they ban the U.K. from going to Germany. This has happened from the very beginning, logging everything as Covid no matter the cause of death, over testing , and being too damn honest. …….

The U.K. counts antigen tests though as official tests, no one else does. If everyone did they would have the same number. There are kiosks all over Europe, you get an antigen test, within 20 mins, done binned and QR code sent to your phone, if your unvaccinated and want to access hospitality, which lasts 24 hours. In Germany they have vending machines all over the country, you can get them. Over here you can get them in the newsagents or Lidel and the like all regulated and quality assured. No one counts them.

Personally Ive taken three antigen tests this week as I was in the U.K. at the weekend, the better half the same, we just throw them in the bin after, they aren’t counted as an official test here.

Its like I was saying earlier, you have to be very careful what you are comparing nationally on track and trace, you might be counting 80% antigen tests, when the rest of the World is chucking them in the bin after using and they aren’t cumulated or recognised as official tests.
 
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I assume you haven't actually clicked on those links? They actually explain why the covid vaccine was able to be developed quicker than the standard 10 years. And surprise surprise, its actually the beaurocracy around it that was fast tracked, not the development of the actual vaccine.
I mean you "could" listen to the people who actually developed it, or you could just Google and read the few sentences underneath each listing


I could say the same of you two...did you read the pieces behind the links?

The links confirm that the usual development time for vaccines is around 10 years. They also confirm the Covid vaccine's development was rushed. One example from those links is them explaining how pre-clinical assessments were skipped. Another example is how usual safety-assessments (which last around 2 years) was rushed to mere months. There's no way to artifically expand 2-3 months into 2-3 years, regardless of how much funding you have. The time just isn't there, so there's no way of knowing about safety concerns 2-3 years down the line.

Other clinical phases of development like testing to see if the vaccine will actually work was rushed through or skipped altogether. Which explains why the protection only holds for a few months, why boosters are required, and why mutations will require tweaks to the formular.

It's a fair call to say the development was rushed. A decent effort, sure. I've always said I agree that on average the vaccines reduce the potential severity of heavy Covid within the first few months, probably by about 4-to-1 (when looking at hospitalisation data).

But the development was objectively rushed.


What a silly thing to say. There are 123,000 or so beds in the NHS. Are you expecting every single one to be occupied by a Covid patient for it to be a problem? What about government spending? That's risen by about 15% due to Covid, which has resulted in the biggest debt intake in two generations. It doesn't take huge numbers to break something when margins are already wafer thin. It's sad that you've gone to "so" much effort to justify the unjustifiable.
During a peak-wave of an active global pandemic, the unvaccinated...at most...never approach using 3% of total NHS beds. This is entirely reasonable. Any National Health Service of a first-world country should easily be able to cope...and if it can't cope with less than 3% of extra patients during a peak-wave of a pandemic (especially considering the usual flu numbers are massively down, which more than cancels out those 3%), then there's some serious problems within the infrastructure or organisation...blaming those extra 3% of patients is what is unjustifiable.



Not sure why ‘camps’ keeps getting bandied about in here by certain users. They’re becoming as scared about being sent away to imaginary vaccine camps as they are of needles. It’s completely madness.
Because Australia and New Zealand are already sending folk to camps. Did you not know that?

It's hardly madness to be concerned such camps could make their way into Europe, especially considering the incessantly aggressive & poisonous narrative towards the unvaccinated.


What ever will be -will be.
Long Live Death!

Welcome back. Great heroes need great villains.
The Great Question remains...who is the hero, and who be the villain?

You're missed.
Thanks mate. I'm only back for a little bit...just trying to protect discriminated minorities by injecting some balance into one-sided debate.

These are seriously dodgy times, and not because of the virus. Gods willing, some listen.


I think the pols are worried about exponential growth. and whilst nonvacc may be taking up just a few beds at the moment, if omicron takes hold then within a couple of weeks we will see a big increase in bed take up, and that percentage will mainly be the nonvacc.
What's your source for this assumption? The current double-vaccinated aren't very well protected against Omicron, with even the Boosters only offering 4-6 weeks of some extra protection before quickly waning. Source for this are the chiefs of the vaccine-makers themselves...hence them rushing to make new ones.


I think the nonvacc are getting it in the ear cos of the potential that we may have to lock down again if this looks likely. One way to prevent this is to say to the nonvacc, if we get near to overload, your decision to nonvacc may be held against you when allocation of beds is decided. That way, we have a policy of not locking down, and nonvacc have to take on the risk that adequate medical care may not be available if we hit capacity.
This is horribly inhumane and goes against every sacred Doctor/Nurse oath we've ever known.

Mass-murdering terrorists who get wounded by police, or drunk-drivers who plough into pushchairs, will get more hospital treatment than the unvaccinated if you have your way.

It's been a real eye-opener to see how morally low some of you are going.


“breakthrough infections in vaccinated individuals cleared faster — on average, in 5.5 days — than infections in unvaccinated individuals, which took an average of 7.5 days to clear.
Wow...2 days difference. That is frankly statistically insignificant, especially considering the stricter social rules for unvaccinated folk.

please think twice before cherry picking a couple of studies (exactly what you’re accusing others of doing)
Who's cherry-picking? You've just cherry-picked a near-insignificant difference of 2 days.

FACT: there is no significant overwhelming evidence that the unvaccinated spread the virus more than the vaccinated.
FACT: politicians, media and their followers are majorly pushing this narrative regardless.

The question is why are they pushing this?

Think about that.



You’ve already acknowledged that the unvaxxed are (at least) 4 times more likely to end up in Hospital (this was off the basis of your own data, which I haven’t checked
My own data = official UK government statistics.


so if you’re spreading this vaccine scepticism
What vaccine scepticism? I'm protecting the rights of the voluntarily-unvaccinated to remain so without being blamed for things for which they are not responsible.


and putting doubt in the minds of the undecided or hesitant, you’re potentially putting people at risk and doing harm.
How am I "potentially putting people at risk and doing harm."?

This is a big dangerous accusation to make. Why are you making it?


Dholliday illustrating why vaccination rates are so low in Germany
So low? It's the same as UK. Same as most Western European Nations. UK has more boosted, tho'.

Also interesting:

Germany total double-jabbed rate: 70%
Germany population: 83m
Germany total Covid deaths: 109,000
Germany deaths-percentage: 0.0013%
Germany Booster rate: 38%

UK total double-jabbed rate: 70%
UK population: 67m
UK total Covid deaths: 147,000
UK deaths-percentage: 0.0021%
UK Booster rate: 56%

So Germany's rate-of-death is around 40% less than UK's, despite similar double-vaccination rate, and less booster-rate.


You don't really know yourself what you were trying to say there, do you?



but this one is not yearly, I've got three jabs in 5 months?
This is the critical thing!

Why are the politicians, media & useful idiots pushing the narrative that the unvaccinated are the problem...when the problem appears to be the likely scenario of needing 6 jabs within 12 months:

Jab 1: 1st vaccine dose Summer 2021.
Jab 2: 2nd dose few weeks later
Jab 3: Booster around Winter 2021/22.
Jab 4: Omicron-formular 1st dose Spring 2022.
Jab 5: 2nd dose few weeks later.
Jab 6: Omicron Booster Summer 2022 (the recommended time between double-jabs and boosters is now 3 months).


@everyone, are you all willing to take 6 jabs within 12 months?



in his defence he has been posting loon commentary since before COVID was a thing
Rich coming from you, I've seen your horrific comments on the drone bombs killing Afghan civilians, and on your support for Assange to be carted off to US for the crime of exposing war-atrocities....you have some inhumane views on things.

I'd rather be seen as a loon than be seen to support evil.


I`d like to see him take on Agent Orange.

It would have potential to be the longest circular argument, in the history of circular arguments.
@davek v. @dholliday

what a time to be alive
Been there, done that.

@davek was a hard vicious battle, but in the end he proved to be an honorable opponent...once we got it out of our system we became respectful, sometimes even amicable, despite still having different views on certain things.



I have no issue with unvaccinated people and would be a big advocate of informed choice.

But i think some of the points you are making are a bit misleading on data.

1) By the sheer weight of people vaccinated think its in the high 80% in the UK the vast majority of admissions will always be vaccinated, by sheer weight of numbers, a better metric is measure a sample of 100k vaccinated and unvaccinated, in terms of overall occupancy pro rata. That before you do the same thing again with delineating with ICU for vaccinated and unvaccinated pro rata proportionally, its clearly disproportionate and unvaccinated are far more at risk.

2) While you are correct to an extent, with antibody decline and transmissibility, you don't factor in the frequency that an unvaccinated person is at a higher risk at being infected and how Antibody protection and T Cell response would protect someone from being a carrier anyway. The vaccine is a point where there is a break in the chain of infection.

Thanks for making a thoughtful reply.

Re: 1) I did already do that by stating the approx. 4-to-1 ratio of unvaccinated taking up more hospital beds than vaccinated. My core argument is that despite this, we should not be blaming everything on the unvaccinated. For it's this blame that is disproportionate.

Life is full of risk and full of choice. The smoker & drinker will more likely require care than the tee-total etc. We still treat lung cancer as and when required.

Re: 2) how is "an unvaccinated person at a higher risk at being infected"? What are you basing that on? Older Delta data? Current Omicron case analysis doesn't appear to support this. It looks like being vaccinated offers no less risk of being infected with Omicron than being unvaxxed.




Given that South Africa, like many countries, has a higher % of the more vulnerable older people vaccinated I’d assume that if this was age stratified there would be an even starker difference between unvaccinated/vaccinated mortality.

Disinformation. South Africa only has around 26% double-jabbed rate.


If it knocks me for six then so be it. I will eat even more than normal to try and console myself lol
The boosters offer around a 70%-protection boost against Omicron for about 4-6 weeks before tailing off (source: the firms behind the vaccines themselves). This rather unimpressive performance is because the current jabs were designed to combat the virus from 3 generations ago (the original Wuhan variant).

Omicron itself looks to be fairly mild for non-risk folk, so there's an argument that the Booster will knock you for six more than Omicron would, by the law of averages based on the data so far.

In March/April the Omicron-formular vaccines should be ready, likely offering a better balance of pros/cons. It's not yet known if there'll be any adverse effects for those taking the new vaccines if only mere months previously they also received the Wuhan-variant booster.

For those who do want to take the vaccines, it's at least worth being aware of this so you can make a sensible call for yourself.


Agree with his first point but if the UK had a 100% population with boosters you would not need additional measures.
South Africa has a tiny booster rate...not even 10%...and only a 26% double-jabbed rate...they are currently not needing additional measures despite having Omicron a few weeks longer than UK.

As I said above, the current vaccines (and boosters) aren't designed to combat Omicron. You would need to wait for the new vaccines to remotely support your statement.


It's an EUA so only "experimental" is what I bet we do NOT hear from folks that thought the vaccines experimental
Of course the vaccines are experimental. This isn't even under debate. We're in the middle of an active pandemic. The chiefs of Moderna, Biontech & Astra-Z have all stated they are developing new vaccines to combat the latest mutations. They're experimenting right now. The results of these experiments should be ready by Spring this year.

It's no shame to admit the experimental nature of the current, and incoming, vaccines. The world has never had a global vaccine push like this, and especially not one with relatively new vaccine tech like MRNA-based, the development of which was famously fast-tracked.

Once the pandemic has ended (hopefully!) then we'll have a settled vaccine routine...likely with annual tweaks similar to how the flu jab gets updates based on what the dominant mutations are. At this settled point we can then argue the vaccines are no longer experimental, but routine.
 
Disinformation. South Africa only has around 26% double-jabbed rate.
How is it disinformation?

The most vulnerable population for severe disease of over 60s are 65% vaccinated according to the S African data site, 50-60 are ~60%.
https://sacoronavirus.co.za/latest-vaccine-statistics/ page 6

Even the 18-34 age range are about 30% although a big sex disparity.

If you are meaning to split out double jabbed (Pfizer) vs single jabbed (J&J) think that is pretty clear in the information provided and as I understand it SA considers both (2 shot Pfizer, 1 shot J&J) as fully vaccinated. Whether they should is certainly something open to debate and I say that as someone with a J&J vaccination.
 
Thanks for making a thoughtful reply.

Re: 1) I did already do that by stating the approx. 4-to-1 ratio of unvaccinated taking up more hospital beds than vaccinated. My core argument is that despite this, we should not be blaming everything on the unvaccinated. For it's this blame that is disproportionate.

Life is full of risk and full of choice. The smoker & drinker will more likely require care than the tee-total etc. We still treat lung cancer as and when required.

Re: 2) how is "an unvaccinated person at a higher risk at being infected"? What are you basing that on? Older Delta data? Current Omicron case analysis doesn't appear to support this. It looks like being vaccinated offers no less risk of being infected with Omicron than being unvaxxed.

I think pro-rata it can be significantly more mate. Then there are data sub sets in terms of “hospitalisations” it’s not just beds, but severity of illness, level of intervention, length of stay etc. ICU progression and mortalities all pro rate of course.



You also have to factor in the data sample in unvaccinated is a bit skewed in terms of totals in most overall data sets, not just hospitalisations. When you consider most countries haven’t vaccinated 12 and unders. You can’t really classify them as unvaccinated in terms of consent as they haven’t been offered the opportunity to be vaccinated yet, but they would make up a big chunk of the percentage of ratios of unvaccinated totals, so the real conscientious unvaccinated is acutaully an awful lot lower then the total figure - if that makes sense. That subsequently changes the data set of total unvaccinated, the total number of conscientious unvaccinated is far lower, thus the evident poorer outcomes like I posted above are far worse.

Yes I agree with you, informed consent is something I value highly, therefore I’ve no beef what so ever with someone who chooses not to be vaccinated. Everyone has the right to make what others consider an unwise decision. I do think it’s unwise, but the principal is important. I’d never try to convince anyone other wise, you are just polarising the debate. You make your choice and it’s basic Darwan stuff, survival of the fittest.

You should read some of myself and Legs posted today, about the potential severity, transmissibility, vaccine escape, anti body decline and T Cell response in regard to Delta, literally in the last hour or so. Loads of data there mate that will illustrate, vaccine protection on each Vs vaccine naivety, it’s simple math based on the data to work out the protection and risk in naivety based on the data provided.
 
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I could say the same of you two...did you read the pieces behind the links?

The links confirm that the usual development time for vaccines is around 10 years. They also confirm the Covid vaccine's development was rushed. One example from those links is them explaining how pre-clinical assessments were skipped. Another example is how usual safety-assessments (which last around 2 years) was rushed to mere months. There's no way to artifically expand 2-3 months into 2-3 years, regardless of how much funding you have. The time just isn't there, so there's no way of knowing about safety concerns 2-3 years down the line.

Other clinical phases of development like testing to see if the vaccine will actually work was rushed through or skipped altogether. Which explains why the protection only holds for a few months, why boosters are required, and why mutations will require tweaks to the formular.

It's a fair call to say the development was rushed. A decent effort, sure. I've always said I agree that on average the vaccines reduce the potential severity of heavy Covid within the first few months, probably by about 4-to-1 (when looking at hospitalisation data).

But the development was objectively rushed.



During a peak-wave of an active global pandemic, the unvaccinated...at most...never approach using 3% of total NHS beds. This is entirely reasonable. Any National Health Service of a first-world country should easily be able to cope...and if it can't cope with less than 3% of extra patients during a peak-wave of a pandemic (especially considering the usual flu numbers are massively down, which more than cancels out those 3%), then there's some serious problems within the infrastructure or organisation...blaming those extra 3% of patients is what is unjustifiable.




Because Australia and New Zealand are already sending folk to camps. Did you not know that?

It's hardly madness to be concerned such camps could make their way into Europe, especially considering the incessantly aggressive & poisonous narrative towards the unvaccinated.



Long Live Death!


The Great Question remains...who is the hero, and who be the villain?


Thanks mate. I'm only back for a little bit...just trying to protect discriminated minorities by injecting some balance into one-sided debate.

These are seriously dodgy times, and not because of the virus. Gods willing, some listen.



What's your source for this assumption? The current double-vaccinated aren't very well protected against Omicron, with even the Boosters only offering 4-6 weeks of some extra protection before quickly waning. Source for this are the chiefs of the vaccine-makers themselves...hence them rushing to make new ones.



This is horribly inhumane and goes against every sacred Doctor/Nurse oath we've ever known.

Mass-murdering terrorists who get wounded by police, or drunk-drivers who plough into pushchairs, will get more hospital treatment than the unvaccinated if you have your way.

It's been a real eye-opener to see how morally low some of you are going.



Wow...2 days difference. That is frankly statistically insignificant, especially considering the stricter social rules for unvaccinated folk.


Who's cherry-picking? You've just cherry-picked a near-insignificant difference of 2 days.

FACT: there is no significant overwhelming evidence that the unvaccinated spread the virus more than the vaccinated.
FACT: politicians, media and their followers are majorly pushing this narrative regardless.

The question is why are they pushing this?

Think about that.




My own data = official UK government statistics.



What vaccine scepticism? I'm protecting the rights of the voluntarily-unvaccinated to remain so without being blamed for things for which they are not responsible.



How am I "potentially putting people at risk and doing harm."?

This is a big dangerous accusation to make. Why are you making it?



So low? It's the same as UK. Same as most Western European Nations. UK has more boosted, tho'.

Also interesting:

Germany total double-jabbed rate: 70%
Germany population: 83m
Germany total Covid deaths: 109,000
Germany deaths-percentage: 0.0013%
Germany Booster rate: 38%

UK total double-jabbed rate: 70%
UK population: 67m
UK total Covid deaths: 147,000
UK deaths-percentage: 0.0021%
UK Booster rate: 56%

So Germany's rate-of-death is around 40% less than UK's, despite similar double-vaccination rate, and less booster-rate.


You don't really know yourself what you were trying to say there, do you?




This is the critical thing!

Why are the politicians, media & useful idiots pushing the narrative that the unvaccinated are the problem...when the problem appears to be the likely scenario of needing 6 jabs within 12 months:

Jab 1: 1st vaccine dose Summer 2021.
Jab 2: 2nd dose few weeks later
Jab 3: Booster around Winter 2021/22.
Jab 4: Omicron-formular 1st dose Spring 2022.
Jab 5: 2nd dose few weeks later.
Jab 6: Omicron Booster Summer 2022 (the recommended time between double-jabs and boosters is now 3 months).


@everyone, are you all willing to take 6 jabs within 12 months?




Rich coming from you, I've seen your horrific comments on the drone bombs killing Afghan civilians, and on your support for Assange to be carted off to US for the crime of exposing war-atrocities....you have some inhumane views on things.

I'd rather be seen as a loon than be seen to support evil.




Been there, done that.

@davek was a hard vicious battle, but in the end he proved to be an honorable opponent...once we got it out of our system we became respectful, sometimes even amicable, despite still having different views on certain things.





Thanks for making a thoughtful reply.

Re: 1) I did already do that by stating the approx. 4-to-1 ratio of unvaccinated taking up more hospital beds than vaccinated. My core argument is that despite this, we should not be blaming everything on the unvaccinated. For it's this blame that is disproportionate.

Life is full of risk and full of choice. The smoker & drinker will more likely require care than the tee-total etc. We still treat lung cancer as and when required.

Re: 2) how is "an unvaccinated person at a higher risk at being infected"? What are you basing that on? Older Delta data? Current Omicron case analysis doesn't appear to support this. It looks like being vaccinated offers no less risk of being infected with Omicron than being unvaxxed.



Disinformation. South Africa only has around 26% double-jabbed rate.



The boosters offer around a 70%-protection boost against Omicron for about 4-6 weeks before tailing off (source: the firms behind the vaccines themselves). This rather unimpressive performance is because the current jabs were designed to combat the virus from 3 generations ago (the original Wuhan variant).

Omicron itself looks to be fairly mild for non-risk folk, so there's an argument that the Booster will knock you for six more than Omicron would, by the law of averages based on the data so far.

In March/April the Omicron-formular vaccines should be ready, likely offering a better balance of pros/cons. It's not yet known if there'll be any adverse effects for those taking the new vaccines if only mere months previously they also received the Wuhan-variant booster.

For those who do want to take the vaccines, it's at least worth being aware of this so you can make a sensible call for yourself.



South Africa has a tiny booster rate...not even 10%...and only a 26% double-jabbed rate...they are currently not needing additional measures despite having Omicron a few weeks longer than UK.

As I said above, the current vaccines (and boosters) aren't designed to combat Omicron. You would need to wait for the new vaccines to remotely support your statement.



Of course the vaccines are experimental. This isn't even under debate. We're in the middle of an active pandemic. The chiefs of Moderna, Biontech & Astra-Z have all stated they are developing new vaccines to combat the latest mutations. They're experimenting right now. The results of these experiments should be ready by Spring this year.

It's no shame to admit the experimental nature of the current, and incoming, vaccines. The world has never had a global vaccine push like this, and especially not one with relatively new vaccine tech like MRNA-based, the development of which was famously fast-tracked.

Once the pandemic has ended (hopefully!) then we'll have a settled vaccine routine...likely with annual tweaks similar to how the flu jab gets updates based on what the dominant mutations are. At this settled point we can then argue the vaccines are no longer experimental, but routine.
Wait a minute - we are sending people to camps in Australia? What camps are these as they certainly don't make the news over here?
 
I could say the same of you two...did you read the pieces behind the links?

The links confirm that the usual development time for vaccines is around 10 years. They also confirm the Covid vaccine's development was rushed. One example from those links is them explaining how pre-clinical assessments were skipped. Another example is how usual safety-assessments (which last around 2 years) was rushed to mere months. There's no way to artifically expand 2-3 months into 2-3 years, regardless of how much funding you have. The time just isn't there, so there's no way of knowing about safety concerns 2-3 years down the line.

Other clinical phases of development like testing to see if the vaccine will actually work was rushed through or skipped altogether. Which explains why the protection only holds for a few months, why boosters are required, and why mutations will require tweaks to the formular.

It's a fair call to say the development was rushed. A decent effort, sure. I've always said I agree that on average the vaccines reduce the potential severity of heavy Covid within the first few months, probably by about 4-to-1 (when looking at hospitalisation data).

But the development was objectively rushed.



During a peak-wave of an active global pandemic, the unvaccinated...at most...never approach using 3% of total NHS beds. This is entirely reasonable. Any National Health Service of a first-world country should easily be able to cope...and if it can't cope with less than 3% of extra patients during a peak-wave of a pandemic (especially considering the usual flu numbers are massively down, which more than cancels out those 3%), then there's some serious problems within the infrastructure or organisation...blaming those extra 3% of patients is what is unjustifiable.




Because Australia and New Zealand are already sending folk to camps. Did you not know that?

It's hardly madness to be concerned such camps could make their way into Europe, especially considering the incessantly aggressive & poisonous narrative towards the unvaccinated.



Long Live Death!


The Great Question remains...who is the hero, and who be the villain?


Thanks mate. I'm only back for a little bit...just trying to protect discriminated minorities by injecting some balance into one-sided debate.

These are seriously dodgy times, and not because of the virus. Gods willing, some listen.



What's your source for this assumption? The current double-vaccinated aren't very well protected against Omicron, with even the Boosters only offering 4-6 weeks of some extra protection before quickly waning. Source for this are the chiefs of the vaccine-makers themselves...hence them rushing to make new ones.



This is horribly inhumane and goes against every sacred Doctor/Nurse oath we've ever known.

Mass-murdering terrorists who get wounded by police, or drunk-drivers who plough into pushchairs, will get more hospital treatment than the unvaccinated if you have your way.

It's been a real eye-opener to see how morally low some of you are going.



Wow...2 days difference. That is frankly statistically insignificant, especially considering the stricter social rules for unvaccinated folk.


Who's cherry-picking? You've just cherry-picked a near-insignificant difference of 2 days.

FACT: there is no significant overwhelming evidence that the unvaccinated spread the virus more than the vaccinated.
FACT: politicians, media and their followers are majorly pushing this narrative regardless.

The question is why are they pushing this?

Think about that.




My own data = official UK government statistics.



What vaccine scepticism? I'm protecting the rights of the voluntarily-unvaccinated to remain so without being blamed for things for which they are not responsible.



How am I "potentially putting people at risk and doing harm."?

This is a big dangerous accusation to make. Why are you making it?



So low? It's the same as UK. Same as most Western European Nations. UK has more boosted, tho'.

Also interesting:

Germany total double-jabbed rate: 70%
Germany population: 83m
Germany total Covid deaths: 109,000
Germany deaths-percentage: 0.0013%
Germany Booster rate: 38%

UK total double-jabbed rate: 70%
UK population: 67m
UK total Covid deaths: 147,000
UK deaths-percentage: 0.0021%
UK Booster rate: 56%

So Germany's rate-of-death is around 40% less than UK's, despite similar double-vaccination rate, and less booster-rate.


You don't really know yourself what you were trying to say there, do you?




This is the critical thing!

Why are the politicians, media & useful idiots pushing the narrative that the unvaccinated are the problem...when the problem appears to be the likely scenario of needing 6 jabs within 12 months:

Jab 1: 1st vaccine dose Summer 2021.
Jab 2: 2nd dose few weeks later
Jab 3: Booster around Winter 2021/22.
Jab 4: Omicron-formular 1st dose Spring 2022.
Jab 5: 2nd dose few weeks later.
Jab 6: Omicron Booster Summer 2022 (the recommended time between double-jabs and boosters is now 3 months).


@everyone, are you all willing to take 6 jabs within 12 months?




Rich coming from you, I've seen your horrific comments on the drone bombs killing Afghan civilians, and on your support for Assange to be carted off to US for the crime of exposing war-atrocities....you have some inhumane views on things.

I'd rather be seen as a loon than be seen to support evil.




Been there, done that.

@davek was a hard vicious battle, but in the end he proved to be an honorable opponent...once we got it out of our system we became respectful, sometimes even amicable, despite still having different views on certain things.





Thanks for making a thoughtful reply.

Re: 1) I did already do that by stating the approx. 4-to-1 ratio of unvaccinated taking up more hospital beds than vaccinated. My core argument is that despite this, we should not be blaming everything on the unvaccinated. For it's this blame that is disproportionate.

Life is full of risk and full of choice. The smoker & drinker will more likely require care than the tee-total etc. We still treat lung cancer as and when required.

Re: 2) how is "an unvaccinated person at a higher risk at being infected"? What are you basing that on? Older Delta data? Current Omicron case analysis doesn't appear to support this. It looks like being vaccinated offers no less risk of being infected with Omicron than being unvaxxed.



Disinformation. South Africa only has around 26% double-jabbed rate.



The boosters offer around a 70%-protection boost against Omicron for about 4-6 weeks before tailing off (source: the firms behind the vaccines themselves). This rather unimpressive performance is because the current jabs were designed to combat the virus from 3 generations ago (the original Wuhan variant).

Omicron itself looks to be fairly mild for non-risk folk, so there's an argument that the Booster will knock you for six more than Omicron would, by the law of averages based on the data so far.

In March/April the Omicron-formular vaccines should be ready, likely offering a better balance of pros/cons. It's not yet known if there'll be any adverse effects for those taking the new vaccines if only mere months previously they also received the Wuhan-variant booster.

For those who do want to take the vaccines, it's at least worth being aware of this so you can make a sensible call for yourself.



South Africa has a tiny booster rate...not even 10%...and only a 26% double-jabbed rate...they are currently not needing additional measures despite having Omicron a few weeks longer than UK.

As I said above, the current vaccines (and boosters) aren't designed to combat Omicron. You would need to wait for the new vaccines to remotely support your statement.



Of course the vaccines are experimental. This isn't even under debate. We're in the middle of an active pandemic. The chiefs of Moderna, Biontech & Astra-Z have all stated they are developing new vaccines to combat the latest mutations. They're experimenting right now. The results of these experiments should be ready by Spring this year.

It's no shame to admit the experimental nature of the current, and incoming, vaccines. The world has never had a global vaccine push like this, and especially not one with relatively new vaccine tech like MRNA-based, the development of which was famously fast-tracked.

Once the pandemic has ended (hopefully!) then we'll have a settled vaccine routine...likely with annual tweaks similar to how the flu jab gets updates based on what the dominant mutations are. At this settled point we can then argue the vaccines are no longer experimental, but routine.
They literally say

This doesn’t mean that any of the required steps were missed out, but rather that we could launch the next stage of the trial as soon as we had collected enough data from the previous phase and had it reviewed by the independent Data Safety Monitoring Board.

Moving quickly but safely​

Some people have questioned the speed of vaccine development during the pandemic. However, the Oxford COVID-19 vaccine trial – which is still ongoing – is undergoing the same intense scrutiny as other vaccine trials.

.....

All told, the vaccine will have been tested on almost five times as many volunteers as is usually required for licensing a vaccine.
It's you who has determined you're better placed to judge the safety of a vaccine than either those who have made it or those who have regulated it throughout. That's insane.
 
Wow...2 days difference. That is frankly statistically insignificant, especially considering the stricter social rules for unvaccinated folk.
No it’s not. It’s 27% less time infectiousness. Very much statistically significant. As someone who works in data and statistics, you’re just wrong here.

Who's cherry-picking? You've just cherry-picked a near-insignificant difference of 2 days.

Oh, near-insignificant now? Which is it? Either way, you’re still wrong. It’s very much significant.

I simply said “your data” to get across the point that I hadn’t checked it, and was taking it as correct without challenge.

But you instead focussed on this wording instead of the fact that the paragraph in question was pointing out that the unvaxxed are 4 times as likely to end up in hospital as the vaxxed. This is interesting.

What vaccine scepticism? I'm protecting the rights of the voluntarily-unvaccinated to remain so without being blamed for things for which they are not responsible.

Ignoring the statistically significant findings re infectiousness, doubling down and calling it insignificant (which is flat out wrong), cherry picking data to make a point about there being no difference in transmission between vaxxed and unvaxxed, as well as crucially ignoring the fact that vaxxed are less likely to have the virus than the unvaxxxed, which reduces the likelihood of transmission.

This type of cherry picking data, while ignoring other data is purely to advance your particular narrative.

How am I "potentially putting people at risk and doing harm."?

This is a big dangerous accusation to make. Why are you making it?

Due to the above. Underplaying the effectiveness of the vaccines and spewing that type of stuff across the internet could easily convince the vaccine hesitant not to get a vaccine, which would put them at greater risk of hospitalisation.

The very definition of ‘putting people at risk and doing harm’.

You could make all your points about social attitudes towards the unvaxxed without bringing in doubt about the effectiveness of the vaccine itself. I’d probably agree with a lot of your points about the dangers of negative views towards the unvaxxed. But you go further, which points to your underlying narrative.
 
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