Current Affairs Ukraine

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Oh you mean they’d just launch one as a test to see how it goes?

??
You do realise there is a huge difference between 1 and 500? You actually said they would launch 500 warheads at once. I’d be amazed if they even had the tech to do that let alone the will you absolute madman. Then you tacked on China when there is absolutely no evidence that the US or anyone would try and bring China into this.
 
How ironic. NATO only expands when countries feel threatened enough that they want the security of a mutual defence treaty with several other liberal democracies... Maybe if Russia stopped treating all their neighbours like scum, their neighbours would stop applying to join NATO.
Well, I have to start off by admitting that I'm no Russia expert, so hands-up to that failing on my part. I also completely accept that Putin is some sort of a megalomaniac basket case, but I do genuinely think that Russians generally have a feeling that western Europe is a threat. This view was fuelled by the German invasion of WW2, when Russia probably suffered more casualties than all other countries put together, and maybe dating right back to Napoleon's march on Moscow. NATO to them isn't the defensive, weakish, set-up we all know it to be, but an alliance of many countries, never friends to Russia, and run by the USA, Russia's arch enemy. After WW2, Russia created a buffer of Balkan and other countries between itself and the threat of the West, and this has been worn away over time, and in many cases become part of the NATO 'threat'. Dunno if Putin is exploiting this feeling among average Russian folk, or is demented enough to believe it, but that's where I think the present problem originates, anyway.
 
I’m not praising it. I’m just trying to figure out what would happen in the worst case.

I’m terrified tbh

Genuinely scared
Kev if there is a worst case we won’t be able to a) stop/avoid it b) be around to worry about its aftermath anyhow so for your own mental health I suggest you don’t go down that line of thought.
 
Nothing less then I expected from FIFA. A pathetic token gesture that would be laughable if it wasn't so cynical and sickening. They're shameless cowards. Their last world cup was in Russia ffs, and the next world cup is in Qatar. They enjoy licking the balls of evil dictators and blood drenched regimes as they line their own pockets.
 
Or the price of lending has went up.
A 4% jump in interest rates is a different statement than a more "normal" rise in rates, or even a "wartime" jump of 1-2% due to uncertainty. Granted, we're starting from a higher baseline that says something about the underlying delinquency rates, which in turn says something about the level of economic uncertainty homeowners face under "normal" circumstances, but still.

A 4% jump prices anyone even remotely questionable on capacity out of the market.
 
You do realise there is a huge difference between 1 and 500? You actually said they would launch 500 warheads at once. I’d be amazed if they even had the tech to do that let alone the will you absolute madman. Then you tacked on China when there is absolutely no evidence that the US or anyone would try and bring China into this.
I think Putin wanted to bring China into this, tbf

And I think even China thought he was mental
 
A 4% jump in interest rates is a different statement than a more "normal" rise in rates, or even a "wartime" jump of 1-2% due to uncertainty. Granted, we're starting from a higher baseline that says something about the underlying delinquency rates, which in turn says something about the level of economic uncertainty homeowners face under "normal" circumstances, but still.

A 4% jump prices anyone even remotely questionable on capacity out of the market.

What I mean is the answer is probably somewhat simpler than what you put forward.
 
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