Current Affairs Ukraine
- Thread starter Mutzo Nutzo
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I don't think he wants war or nuclear conflict with any of the NATO lot but I think he would probably unleash both at this stage if he was pushed.
That's not to say he shouldn't be pushed as much as possible, mind.
EU - Germany and Italy especially - are so tied to Russia's resources...
But what can any country do? The fact that they haven't gone in already to help Ukraine shows that they are taking Putin's threats very, very seriously
Trump and Johnson were funded by Russian Dark money, as was Brexit. Aaron Banks, Steve Bannon, Cambridge Analytica and Vote leave campaign. Both Banks and Bannon have strong links to Russia. Both campaigns aimed to get Trump/Johnson in and get us out of the EU. You have to ask why would Russia want those? Because it benefits them and weakens us/America/Nato and the EU, as well as democracy.
Banks is suing Guardian journalist Carole Cadwalladr for exposing the Russian dark money links.
He took his chance. Biden cocked up the withdrawal from Afghanistan so much, it showed weakness. The EU and much of the world is so reliant on Russia's natural resources. Nobody wants a global conflict and to take on Russia means all of NATO's forces would have to be united in it.
Russian 'dark' money will have funded a lot of things.
It's currently funding our football club.
Blue Roo
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Caspian Report is very good on explaining the complexity of geopolitics (lots of good stuff on China as well)
I've tried posting the youtube link but won't let me so if your interested in understanding the current situation without the western bias search [capsian report ukraine russia] on youtube
I've tried posting the youtube link but won't let me so if your interested in understanding the current situation without the western bias search [capsian report ukraine russia] on youtube
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A good question, if they back down, the threat will never go away.
Do you know what the concept of OSNIT is? Mainly that, alongside snippets from ex-colleagues and what you can find elsewhere.
In terms of taking Kyiv, it's the most plausible scenario based on everything out there and common military practice when you consider the circumstances.
Recent reports suggested Holomostel isn't yet operation for Russians as it'll be a staging post for reinforcements. The important part is they used VDV for this.
We call it JFT (Joint Theatre Entry) where the entry units seizes and establish a lodgement to build up forces independent of land manoeuvres.
The key issue here is speed as paratroops are vulnerable to counter-attack (a small force defending new territory), have limited equipment and limited supplies.
So time is of the essence. Such a sudden assault to take the airport alone would likely link to an assault on Kyiv itself, with links to the land forces moving in.
Take Hostomel, deny the Ukranian's access to the air, bring in troops and push for the city within 24-48 hours. Otherwise, the VDV would be at huge risk.
In essence, there's no reason for the assault unless their plan was to take Kyiv quickly. It appears as if their first assault worked and look at the (supposed) outcome.
It's basically military doctrine, which pretty much most squaddies would recognise. If the Ukrainians stop the Russians at the airport and/or the quick movement...
... it all becomes more difficult. The issue is what was expected comes that they felt it would be a push into the Donbas first and Ukraine later, not in unison.
Have the Russians yet to take a city or key locations? It appears not. Again, this would be a major element of any plan.
Ghost Rider
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If Russia wanted to crush Ukraine they could do. Nothing about saving face, it's only been a day!
There's a much bigger political game being played by Putin here. What he wants he was hoping to get with the threat of invasion, didn't happen so he invaded.
In a way, the rest of the world's inaction is probably much more of a surprise to Russia.
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