Current Affairs Ukraine

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I was watching a US diplomat being interviewed on Japanese new channel last week speaking about Taiwan and how it's something that the US and China have agreed to disagree on for half a century. Meanwhile the hawks in Washington are trying their hardest to demonise China. It's the usually US geopolitical maneuvering we've come to know and love. Taiwan is ideal for a confrontation... several thousand miles from home soil.
The international police has some sort of timetable to setup an Asian version of Nato under their supervision. In fact, we fear they will start a proxy war (Ukraine?) in Taiwan just like what they did in every part of the globe in the past. The Kmt won’t entertain that (yes the original party who fled from the mainland to the island in 1949) while the current ruling party Dpp is a pet of Uncle Sam. In the next election, Kmt will come back into the power because Dpp has made a mess of itself in recent years. The impower of Kmt will see the relationship between the mainland and the island become more stable than now. In the end, people have to realise that we are all Chinese it’s the civil war 74 years ago that separated the roots and families of all the Chinese people from two sides. Taiwan is not a country as it’s not recognised by the U.N. PRC became a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council when it succeeded ROC, now commonly referred to as Taiwan, following the passage of U.N. General Assembly Resolution 2758 in 1971.
 
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A quick check suggests the discount is about $14 a barrel relative to Brent crude at the moment, which is a lot by historical standards. Russian oil is of relatively low quality, but the usual spread relative to Brent is a few bucks a barrel. It's fair to call it 'huge' or 'extreme' in context.


China is building ships like mad. They want Taiwan back, but the Seventh Fleet is in the way. Put enough ships in play, and the US Navy has little choice but to capitulate rather than fight. It's that or end up in Davy Jones's locker, which isn't much of a choice.
First I don’t think there is a big enough fleet right now. By 2030, we would have 5 fleets operating around our coast for self defence (not sailing in the other part of the world). The narrative of western propaganda has accused us of being evil. In fact, the last small scale dispute (war) between China and another country was in 1979.
I think some people will absolutely hate it IF we have a peaceful unification.
 
First I don’t think there is a big enough fleet right now. By 2030, we would have 5 fleets operating around our coast for self defence (not sailing in the other part of the world). The narrative of propaganda has accused us for being evil. In fact, the last small scale dispute (war) between China and another country was in 1979.
I think some people will absolutely hate it IF we have a peaceful unification.
There is no universe where a peaceful reunification happens with the CCP in charge.

You're short capabilities right now, but you're on a trajectory to have us cold by 2040, and shipbuilding is a slow game. We would have to do something about the problem right now, and the political will just isn't there.
 
There is no universe where a peaceful reunification happens with the CCP in charge.

You're short capabilities right now, but you're on a trajectory to have us cold by 2040, and shipbuilding is a slow game. We would have to do something about the problem right now, and the political will just isn't there.
It’s in the hands of Kmt. Most of them view themselves as Chinese. It’s just the difference in political belief. Chinese should never fight against Chinese or else we fail into a trap setting up by others. Ordinary citizens suffer.
 
It’s in the hands of Kmt. Most of them view themselves as Chinese. It’s just the difference in political belief. Chinese should never fight against Chinese or else we fail into a trap setting up by others. Ordinary citizens suffer.
Absolutely everyone I know from Taiwan is a '$&#! to the no!' on this issue. They perceive themselves as having a separate identity, and don't trust the CCP.

If you had a democratic government with a few peaceful transitions of power under its belt, they might talk.
 
Absolutely everyone I know from Taiwan is a '$&#! to the no!' on this issue. They perceive themselves as having a separate identity, and don't trust the CCP.

If you had a democratic government with a few peaceful transitions of power under its belt, they might talk.
The youth and supporter of Dpp will say no, definitely.

The Kmt and elder people still have connection to the motherland. People are free to move in and out of the mainland for trading and visiting relatives. The Kmt has representative who consistently convene conferences with Ccp to exchange ideas or so.
 
The youth and supporter of Dpp will say no, definitely.

The Kmt and elder people still have connection to the motherland. People are free to move in and out of the mainland for trading and visiting relatives. The Kmt has representative who consistently convene conferences with Ccp to exchange ideas or so.
Most of the people from Taiwan I know are older. Granted, I live in the US, so they're ex-pats. The sample may be biased.
 
This makes absolutely no sense whatsoevef
It's a short-term fix - nothing else. Lukashenko's (meant to be unwell?) brokered agreement is not a viable long-term solution, so things aren't over yet.

Wagner's rebellion exposed the fragile nature of Putin's power and that of the MoD. The weaknesses have been highlighted and now will only get worse.

Like I said yesterday, Russia needs Wagner hence the compromise, but can Putin afford to look weak? Will he at some point act against those organised it?

To do so could cause more insurrection, and we've already seen how fragile internal security is.
 
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