Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

[Pittsburgh Footy]

It’s hilarious to me that they’ve suddenly embarked on this crusade to defend women’s (girl’s) sports, given that most of these same people were mocking them for being inferior just a few years ago. It’s almost as if it has nothing to do with sporting integrity whatsoever.

Yeah, I mean they are just so transparently a wholly unserious party any more.

Which is a problem as we, as a culture and society, have increasingly become more and more unserious.

This is part of the concoction that explains Trump's rise and continued presence on the national stage

 

[RAFUH]

Been meaning to ask you and @RAFUH who I think is in NC
How are the campaigns looking in swing states? I presume you're being bombarded with ads and such.
Is any of it making a difference? is it head wrecking at this point?
So bizarre to have absolutely none here in MA.

Tons of ads. Phone blowing up with political calls and texts. Seems like more than last POTUS election. Maybe because NC is seen to more in play this time.

Will be interesting to see what if any impact the hurricane in WNC has. If Trump loses the state, I'm sure it will be brought up. The area is largely GOP outside of Asheville and Boone. Saying that, limited population in the rural red areas compared to Asheville/Boone.

PA is an interesting state, with two big cities, a lot of mid-size cities, and lots of rural areas. So in many respects, it's a mini cross section of the county itself

This is NC as well, with a different accent. One difference being our eastern/northeastern rural areas have large black populations.
All this blue are counties with either large to moderate cities/college towns or rural with high percentage of black people.

 

[Ruairi77]

I'd rather hope for a polling error. The 2020 election was the biggest one ever in turnout, making Biden the most voted for president. Don't think you can top that in this climate.

Also, I don't think those right wing polls are influencing much. 538 doesnt include the Rasmussen Polls, and weighs Trafalgar very lightly. Respected pollsters are all over the place and don't find a trend.
538 have it 55-45 in favour of Harris. Betting averages have are favouring Trump. This time last year, Biden was ahead 85-15.


It is what it is: a coin toss.

I dunno. That huge turnout was only 66% of the voting population.
We've since had Jan 6 and Dobbs.
Also Biden was really an 'anybody but Trump' candidate.
Harris seems to have a bit more of a ground swell of support.

Question is how much will sexism and racism factor.

 

[Pittsburgh Footy]

Tons of ads. Phone blowing up with political calls and texts. Seems like more than last POTUS election. Maybe because NC is seen to more in play this time.

Will be interesting to see what if any impact the hurricane in WNC has. If Trump loses the state, I'm sure it will be brought up. The area is largely GOP outside of Asheville and Boone. Saying that, limited population in the rural red areas compared to Asheville/Boone.


This is NC as well, with a different accent. One difference being our eastern/northeastern rural areas have large black populations.
All this blue are counties with either large to moderate cities/college towns or rural with high percentage of black people.


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Yeah, I guess I wasn't thinking about the texts and calls.

That has DEFINITELY ramped up compared to prior years. The texts are nonstop and have been for months. It's incredible actually

 

[Ruairi77]

Tons of ads. Phone blowing up with political calls and texts. Seems like more than last POTUS election. Maybe because NC is seen to more in play this time.

Will be interesting to see what if any impact the hurricane in WNC has. If Trump loses the state, I'm sure it will be brought up. The area is largely GOP outside of Asheville and Boone. Saying that, limited population in the rural red areas compared to Asheville/Boone.


This is NC as well, with a different accent. One difference being our eastern/northeastern rural areas have large black populations.
All this blue are counties with either large to moderate cities/college towns or rural with high percentage of black people.


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Another question.
How will the Hurricane affect turn out in Asheville and the rural areas?
Is it that people have left and wont be back in time or that areas are still not passable so people literally cant get to the polls, or the mail is out?
Or is it a case that theres a screw FEMA and federal government movement, lets rally behind Trump?

 

[RAFUH]

Question is how much will sexism and racism factor.

Personally think a lot of sexism. Saw it with H. Clinton. But my bias will make it more noticeable to me than racism.

Maybe the rumors from polls suggesting Black and Latino men leaning toward Trump have shaded my thoughts.

 

[Tim's tourettes]

Watched a few youtube videos re her Fox interview now. Seems she was fiery in parts and held her own
Seems like she got a bit of begrudging praise from some right wing media outlets too.

 

[RAFUH]

Another question.
How will the Hurricane affect turn out in Asheville and the rural areas?
Is it that people have left and wont be back in time or that areas are still not passable so people literally cant get to the polls, or the mail is out?
Or is it a case that theres a screw FEMA and federal government movement, lets rally behind Trump?

Absentee/mail in ballots may be an issue. They were delayed getting out already because of Kennedy, then the hurricane.
GOP is of course looking to give leniency to late arriving mail in ballots. Amusing since it was the GOP that has tightened those laws in recent years.

Sounds like in person early voting isn't going too badly. It started today.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4938268-north-carolina-early-voting-hurricane-helene/

Only four of the 80 sites in western North Carolina hit hardest by the flooding will not be open.

Brinson Bell said at a press conference last week it’s harder to carry out elections through such devastation, but the state’s processes “are working” and election officials are “exercising what we know to do.”

 

[RAFUH]

 

[RAFUH]

 

[Ruairi77]

When some clown labels any progressive/liberal as "communist," it is pretty much assured that they are stupid, uneducated, or both, and feed off a steady diet of blue-check twitter accounts that have names like USAnumberOneguy_4593 and MAGAdad4ever_656. In any case, communism is not viewed as an existential threat to the USA even by a majority of Republicans. [and even this poll seems a bit wonky].

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or, you could read that and say 65% of Republicans think there'e a chance there'll be a communist dictatorship in the US in 10 years.
or 55% of the country.

That's still very high for a western country. I wonder what it is in, say, Canada or the UK

 

[Pittsburgh Footy]

Amen

 

[RAFUH]

Fantastic insight from Trump.

Do you suppose he means Ukraine should have been proactive to prevent an invasion or not resisted the Russians?

 

[pfim]

When some clown labels any progressive/liberal as "communist," it is pretty much assured that they are stupid, uneducated, or both, and feed off a steady diet of blue-check twitter accounts that have names like USAnumberOneguy_4593 and MAGAdad4ever_656. In any case, communism is not viewed as an existential threat to the USA even by a majority of Republicans. [and even this poll seems a bit wonky].

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What's the difference between a communist dictatorship, and just a plain old dictatorship?

 

[TheFinnFan]

Watched a few youtube videos re her Fox interview now. Seems she was fiery in parts and held her own
Seems like she got a bit of begrudging praise from some right wing media outlets too.

Erm, i suggest you watch it wholly yourself.