How could you possibly know that Kev! That widely publicly reported information regarding the amphibious units in the Black Sea and the tanks in Belarus was highly classified intelligence!
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How could you possibly know that Kev! That widely publicly reported information regarding the amphibious units in the Black Sea and the tanks in Belarus was highly classified intelligence!
Disgraceful from Putin and I didn't think he would go through with it
I don't see what good options there are here but doing nothing is not ok. Ukraine deserves help, but smarter people than me will have to work out how we help.
I don't see what good options there are here but doing nothing is not ok. Ukraine deserves help, but smarter people than me will have to work out how we help.
Historically, dictators become more and more paranoid and only listen to or trust in weak people. Anyone who can be seen as strong is sent to the periphery.
Look at Stalin with Zhukov and Hitler with so many of his generals. Sadly, I don't think there's enough people around him who've got the metal to do it.
D
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Kev should be CA banned imo
Yarrgh
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An ally with a convenient set of islands just north of Japan might help.
China won't necessarily hit the military. Japan is a sitting duck. We'd need Russia back on side to protect Japan.
Taiwan might be sacrificed as Ukraine is.
What a terrible scenario.
Lobster Johnson
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I'd look to Taiwan and their US equipped military before Japan.
I watched a documentary on bbc about Stalingrad the other night, and they talked about this a lot. It was just irrational decision after irrational decision, surrounded by yes men, who would get promoted over actual competent professionals.
Kev The Rat
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My point is the US have a legal obligation to protect Japan, in the same way NATO have a legal obligation to protect the Baltics.
Will they though?
Militarily it isn't. If you're talking about attack from ballistic missiles, perhaps. If we're talking about an invasion, not a chance. Not one. Nil. Zero.
Currently, China doesn't have the amphibious capabilities to invade Taiwan, let alone cross the Sea of the Japan in the numbers required to take Japan.
The JSDF has a relatively large blue-water navy, a strong air force and more than capable troops. They have a capable ABM system to protect from attack.
That's before talking about the US 7th Fleet. China might try to marginalise Japan politically and whatnot, but they are more than capable of holding their own.
tsubaki
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Yes.
Tipp blue
If I agreed with you, we’d both be wrong.
If China take a side it will be with USA and Europe, far too much at stake economically for them to back Russia. At the end of the day money is all that matters.. Putin is making a play for Ukraine for the massive gas reserves in the west, much like in 2014 when Crimea was taken.. Money is what it's about end of. China has much more to lose by backing Russia in this.
I don't know, but they have a legal treaty obligation to protect other NATO members.
I don't think Putin will want to find out the answer to that question either to be honest.
Tipp blue
If I agreed with you, we’d both be wrong.
Obviously, you didn't even think Putin would go through with it. ??
Kev The Rat
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Knowing him, he will already have made a decision on whether they will or not.
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