Current Affairs Ukraine

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This piece comes to that conclusion


A negotiated settlement with Russia taking control of the 2 regions and Crimea is the best case scenario for Ukraine at this stage and due to the sanctions etc Putin may be willing to take that as a victory.

The other option is either a world war or total destruction of Ukraine with starvation and countless deaths.
 
How can we defeat Putin? It's impossible. If Ukraine agree to certain terms and Putin doesn't adhere to the agreement that means China etc have to answer difficult questions.

Ukraine won't win a war on their own.
It is as impossible as defeating Hitler was.

He is hiding behind the threat of nukes. On the evidence of Georgia and this incursion NATO would waltz through the Russian forces.

Does he want his daughters, wider family, friends and homelands incinerated because he knows for all of his threats that NATO would react in kind.

We should avoid official direct contact but arm the Ukrainians to the teeth.

If Putin is allowed to push this as a victory he will work it so that he is seen as a hero in Russia. His belief that we are weak and will let him do what he wants will be in vindicated in many respects too. This is certainly the outcome that he, Xi and Iran will be hoping for.
 
They need to rise and get rid of their dictator. Not easy I know, but he is causing havoc at home and abroad. If he is left in power, so many innocent people will suffer.

So many have already suffered.
Even if they do rise up so long as he is still protected by the military and hidden Ina bunker they can't really do much at all to get to him.
 
It is as impossible as defeating Hitler was.

All he has to hide is the threat of nukes. On the evidence of Georgia and this incursion NATO would waltz through the Russian forces.

Does he want his daughters, wider family, friends and homelands incinerated because he knows for all of his threats that NATO would react in kind.

We should avoid official direct contact but arm the Ukrainians to the teeth.

If Putin is allowed to push this as a victory he will work it so that he is seen as a hero in Russia. His belief that we are weak and will let him do what he wants will be in vindicated in many respects too. This is certainly the outcome that he, Xi and Iran will be hoping for.

Hitler didn't have 6000 nuclear weapons.
 
A negotiated settlement with Russia taking control of the 2 regions and Crimea is the best case scenario for Ukraine at this stage and due to the sanctions etc Putin may be willing to take that as a victory.

The other option is either a world war or total destruction of Ukraine with starvation and countless deaths.

By closing off chances of peace people are talking up going to war, I was always concerned that when the generations who witnessed the horror first hand in WW2 had gone we were likely to end up with another.
 
It isn't everything though, is it? It is a way out - a horrible way out, fraught with risks and which doesn't punish those who brought that murderous war to the land - but a way out nonetheless. Ukraine will still exist, with the same government and having shown the world what they have stood up to (and what the enemy was willing to do).

He said a few days ago that what he wanted for his country was peace, not to be some sort of 300. That deal is peace.
It's not everything, but it's not a way out, because ->
He is not going to roll in to heavily armed NATO countries.



To get what you want sometimes you take more to compromise somewhere in between. Russia have paid the ultimate price that a country who has nuclear weapons could pay. Sadly if this was a country that didn't have them we would have steamrollered them into submission - turning them into North Korea is the next best thing and a good example to China of what could happen.

I don't know if that deal is on the table, it was said by Putin but the devil is in the detail. All I'm saying is if it is, they should definitely take it.
It won't work.

This isn't a democratic friendly poke, it's a war declared by a madman from a country with a history of having madmen dictator-types. How people see this and go "yeah, that's gonna be peace definitely" is WELL beyond me; baffling.

Remember when he was in Crimea that way and that was peace?

What happened then? Oh wait, Ukrainians were thrown out for no reason, then Russia started sponsoring (widely reported, not a 'conspiracy theory' anymore) Russians by buying land/houses/apartments in Ukraine and giving it to higher power propagandists on Russia's side.

What happened a few years later? Oh, a war. For the rest of the territory the dictator seems to believe is his (Russian) God given right to have. Well that's baffling, Russia said they would never! Except they did, and here we are, and they won't stop. Again. Like always.

I really don't think that is the lesson they will take away from this - I'd bet it will be that it is much easier to control / influence countries from a distance using puppets than it is to go in and take things.

On a personal note, I'm sorry to use this "card" if it can be called that, but - isn't this what you're suggesting to be done here? People to abandon home, house, life and country because this is what you deem as sensible, on the other end of Europe? Would you have this exact same reaction if your country was next in line here, or if the war was in your own country? Doubt it. I genuinely fear that my own life might be over a few months after an eventual Ukraine surrender, as they're driven out of their own country. Imagine how hell bent he'd be on finding and eradicating other "nazis" in ex-USSR countries. Or the same Ukrainian nazis, who OBVIOUSLY influence politics everywhere they've "escaped" to in the ye olde' Eastern bloc. We even have a pro-Russian party here, if that makes it any better/worse. An OPENLY pro-Russian party. Not many supporters, but they exist. Throwing snowballs at our current prime minister on our national holiday a week ago, on the 3rd of March, as he's against the war. Imagine how lovely things are the closer to this you are. Imagine this being actively talked to as "the threat to Bulgaria" every day. Being discussed in a serious manner.

While you're a world away from this.

Anyway, Putin is a Russian Imperialist, who is going to want to restore it (or his own sick version of the Empire) as soon as he gets a sniff at the entire Ukraine. What's next, oh, maybe countries that share the Black Sea, which have weaker armies. Or the ones above/around them, which were part of the USSR. But it's alright though, they'll just go to a different country and escape this... And then the next, and the next. So that's why I'm saying that I genuinely hope he gets shot ASAP, as horrible as that might make me.

But yeah, ponder giving away land to a land-hungry dictator, sure. As long as he's a world away this is the most obvious choice. I'm sorry to say this, just been on my mind, I guess.

Tiring and depressing thought honestly. Sorry for the mostly personal rant, just wanted to get it off my chest.
 
By closing off chances of peace people are talking up going to war, I was always concerned that when the generations who witnessed the horror first hand in WW2 had gone we were likely to end up with another.
It's not about the generations, it's the people - all have changed and are looking to a more-together future, while Russia is, as always, looking back and wanting to restore its previous glory.
 
On a personal note, I'm sorry to use this "card" if it can be called that, but - isn't this what you're suggesting to be done here? People to abandon home, house, life and country because this is what you deem as sensible, on the other end of Europe? Would you have this exact same reaction if your country was next in line here, or if the war was in your own country? Doubt it. I genuinely fear that my own life might be over a few months after an eventual Ukraine surrender, as they're driven out of their own country. Imagine how hell bent he'd be on finding and eradicating other "nazis" in ex-USSR countries. Or the same Ukrainian nazis, who OBVIOUSLY influence politics everywhere they've "escaped" to in the ye olde' Eastern bloc. We even have a pro-Russian party here, if that makes it any better/worse. An OPENLY pro-Russian party. Not many supporters, but they exist. Throwing snowballs at our current prime minister on our national holiday a week ago, on the 3rd of March, as he's against the war. Imagine how lovely things are the closer to this you are. Imagine this being actively talked to as "the threat to Bulgaria" every day. Being discussed in a serious manner.

While you're a world away from this.

Anyway, Putin is a Russian Imperialist, who is going to want to restore it (or his own sick version of the Empire) as soon as he gets a sniff at the entire Ukraine. What's next, oh, maybe countries that share the Black Sea, which have weaker armies. Or the ones above/around them, which were part of the USSR. But it's alright though, they'll just go to a different country and escape this... And then the next, and the next. So that's why I'm saying that I genuinely hope he gets shot ASAP, as horrible as that might make me.

But yeah, ponder giving away land to a land-hungry dictator, sure. As long as he's a world away this is the most obvious choice. I'm sorry to say this, just been on my mind, I guess.

Tiring and depressing thought honestly. Sorry for the mostly personal rant, just wanted to get it off my chest.

No, it isn't what I am proposing at all. If the deal is rejected and they take the whole country anyway, all it will prove to him is that he can get away with flattening a country, subjecting a populace (probably genocidally) and it will train his army in doing that as well as well. He will think he can do it again, which is what the danger is to the rest of the world.

To draw the Finland parallel again - when Stalin went into the Baltics and Poland in 1939, nothing the Red Army and security services did there dissuaded him from trying that again. When he went into Finland in 1940, he learned plenty that dissuaded him from trying it again and learned to offer peace rather than smash an opponent with brute force. If this peace deal is signed and their forces go home, I am sure Putin will call it a victory, but I am also sure that a lot of troops and civilians will tell the folks at home what it was actually like.

As I've tried to say all along, there are no good outcomes here but there are very, very bad outcomes.
 
Its amazing how many of you take Russia at their word. When someone tells a thousand lies, the next thing they say is also likely a lie, no matter how much you want to believe it because its to your advantage. That's literally how Putin works. He promises you what you want to believe because you fear the alternative, AKA, what hes actually going to do.

How this war is viewed back in Russia will likely be the defining moment for the next 50 years on this planet. If the world lets Putin couch this as either a glorious worthwhile victory, or as the fault of the west the next 50 years are going to be brutal. If hes not able to do that, whether it be a loss, a certain peace agreement or whatever, the biggest threat to world peace goes away. The communists in China are more stable and calculated than Putin and Russia, despite their threat and aggression.

Sadly, any agreeing to Putins terms is helping him murder you at a later date. Russia has to be crushed this year or the world will pay for it when Putin regroups with renewed anger, insanity, and a realization of how to actually fix his armed forces.
 
Its amazing how many of you take Russia at their word. When someone tells a thousand lies, the next thing they say is also likely a lie, no matter how much you want to believe it because its to your advantage. That's literally how Putin works. He promises you what you want to believe because you fear the alternative, AKA, what hes actually going to do.

How this war is viewed back in Russia will likely be the defining moment for the next 50 years on this planet. If the world lets Putin couch this as either a glorious worthwhile victory, or as the fault of the west the next 50 years are going to be brutal. If hes not able to do that, whether it be a loss, a certain peace agreement or whatever, the biggest threat to world peace goes away. The communists in China are more stable and calculated than Putin and Russia, despite their threat and aggression.

Sadly, any agreeing to Putins terms is helping him murder you at a later date. Russia has to be crushed this year or the world will pay for it when Putin regroups with renewed anger, insanity, and a realization of how to actually fix his armed forces.
As somebody who has played CSGO with and against Russians for many years, you can not fix stupid.
 
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