davids
Player Valuation: £70m
I'm going to keep asking the question,why no ceasefire?
Worthwhile don't you think?
Current Affairs Ukraine
- Thread starter Mutzo Nutzo
- Start date
- Status
Worthwhile don't you think?
davids
Player Valuation: £70m
Use more acronyms,it's the way it's done on this thread. You've a lot of stiff competition though,the man who invented Trident,the man who orchestrated the invasion of Iraq,it's going to be difficult for you to stand out...but I have faith you can do it.??
Spadge Vernacular
Player Valuation: £70m
Spadge Vernacular
Player Valuation: £70m
Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
I (and others) have already answered the question. 1) Because Ukraine and Russia are too far apart to mutually agree to one. 2) Because there is no external authority with the power to compel them to adhere to a ceasefire, particularly given the presence of a very large number of nuclear weapons on Russia's side of the ledger.
If you grow up in the West, you're used to living in a world where authority figures can escalate things up the chain to ever-greater levels of force to keep people in line. If you punch a schoolteacher, the police get called. If you hole up somewhere and put lives in clear and present danger, the police use a much greater level of force to sort you. If you have a whole cult resisting the police, they break out the tanks (eg: Waco). If an entire state resists the national government, we have civil war.
The international system has none of that. It has courts, but to be forced to appear one has to lose a domestic power struggle or catastrophically lose a war. The international system has armies, but no one wants World War III. Imagine your city as a place where the police can't make an arrest without the unanimous consent of the mayor and the city council, they aren't allowed to arrest the mayor or the city council even if they shoot someone dead on Fifth Avenue, and every one of those officials has pet constituencies that they protect in order to get re-elected. It's a largely lawless mess with very inconsistent rules enforcement, right?
Well, that's the international system for you.
Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
Smart move, but then he's made rather a lot of them. I don't envy him the corner he has painted himself into, but he didn't have a lot of choice in the matter given that he had to build fighting spirit and resolve just to get this far.
With the eastern oblasts having 'referendums' and talk of Putin formally annexing the territory soon, it will legally allow him to send the new conscripts there.
Now, we know that they have already 'mistakenly' sent many conscripts to the front, but recent actions could be a precursor to filling the territories with grunts.
This may no longer be about winning their special operation, yet rather being able to have enough of a buffer to retain what they've annexed.
One could call it damage limitation, and perhaps that's why they're risking their air assets, shelling most of the front and sending lots of untrained men forward.
Now, we know that they have already 'mistakenly' sent many conscripts to the front, but recent actions could be a precursor to filling the territories with grunts.
This may no longer be about winning their special operation, yet rather being able to have enough of a buffer to retain what they've annexed.
One could call it damage limitation, and perhaps that's why they're risking their air assets, shelling most of the front and sending lots of untrained men forward.
Martin Alvito
Player Valuation: £50m
Bluntly, it feels a lot to me like when the PRC sent people from the provinces into Tiananmen, because they knew good and darned well that the local army would balk at the order to clear the square.
I can see Putin fearing that conscripts from the more ethnically Russian parts of the country would balk at what he is presently asking them to do.
- Status