Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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No of cases. The thing I look at shows average no. of infections over the last 7 days per 100000 people. That figure has gone up by 100 today and normally there should be a weekend lag.
Do you man gone up by 100, so there's an extra 100 infected per 100,000. So for a population of 80m that works out at an extra 8000 infections. That isn't easily explained away by the slaughterhouse outbreak. Or am I over simplifying things?

What was the average figure before the 100 increase.

Also is that based on people being tested positive or an estimate based on stats?

Sorry for all the questions, but you guys came out of lockdown a few weeks before us and I'm trying to see what potentially awaits us in 3/4 weeks time.
 
The situation in the US is very concerning. They show a second wave in progression way before the first wave has had time to subside. They are the turbo-version of the UK, and the worry is for us that when this easing of restrictions begins we'll start looking like the US. Bars, pubs and restaurants reopening with the abandonment of 2m distancing will send our case figures through the roof in a very short time. This is what happened in the US when Trump ordered governors to reopen the economy when there was a plateauing out of the virus in late May.





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Utter BS.

They all serve alcohol and when people drink enough of it they lose all sense of space and propriety. And pub or bar owners are desperate for cash and wont feel a great deal of compulsion to step in and dampen the atmosphere for fear of losing custom to somewhere else.

There is no justification for any pub or bar or restaurant opening up - other than for outdoor servings, at best.
I fear you are right. They don't clean glasses very diligently in our local Wetherspoons either. I suppose it'd be OK to bring your own glass.
We're all going to hell in a handcart.
 
I fear you are right. They don't clean glasses very diligently in our local Wetherspoons either. I suppose it'd be OK to bring your own glass.
We're all going to hell in a handcart.

I have no idea how anyone would feel comfortable sat in a bar/pub/restaurant with almost zero social distancing for hours on end. There's no way anyonme with an ounce of common sense could enjoy a night out drinking or eating under those circumstances. The places will be incubators for covid19, just as they were before the lockdown. We have well over 1000 new cases per day and it's a recipe for a disaster.
 
Two metres down to one metre.
That's just normal then isn't it?
I mean, I don't get closer than that to the wife and certainly not to any of the types in the pub.
I think the majority of people will naturally give themselves an element of personal space and that would be 1-2ft for most. Some people would work on less than that. But there are times that you will break those rules if you need to, like queuing at a bar, or standing on a bus or train if it's full, or sitting in a football stadium or theatre.

1 metre is quite a distance.
 
Do you man gone up by 100, so there's an extra 100 infected per 100,000. So for a population of 80m that works out at an extra 8000 infections. That isn't easily explained away by the slaughterhouse outbreak. Or am I over simplifying things?

What was the average figure before the 100 increase.

Also is that based on people being tested positive or an estimate based on stats?

Sorry for all the questions, but you guys came out of lockdown a few weeks before us and I'm trying to see what potentially awaits us in 3/4 weeks time.

No worries mate. I was referring above to Gutersloh specifically. So when I looked yesterday, Gutersloh had 120 new infections in the last 7 days, per 100,000 people. I looked today and that figure is now 220. That translates as a total of 802 new infections over the last 7 days.

On a national level it's not that dramatic but still going up. For all of Germany it's 3805 new infections over the last 7 days, or 4.6 per 100,000 people. For comparison, about a week ago it was about 2300 new infections over the last 7 days.
 
I think the majority of people will naturally give themselves an element of personal space and that would be 1-2ft for most. Some people would work on less than that. But there are times that you will break those rules if you need to, like queuing at a bar, or standing on a bus or train if it's full, or sitting in a football stadium or theatre.

1 metre is quite a distance.
Well..................if you say so.
 
The thing that doesnt seem to have been mentioned in the Metre Wars is the issue of time span.

Folk generally dont stay in a pub for a few minutes; even with a 2 metre distance, sitting at a table with folk for a hour or so is way more significant than passing someone within 1 metre in a supermarket.
The thing is mate, presumably you'll only be able to sit in company with people from within your bubble who you don't need to self distance from. There may be people on a table next to yours but you'll likely have your back to them anyway. It isn't really expected that you'll get as close as a metre to anybody except when you are moving about such as going to the loos or the bar, and then it will only be for a brief moment.

Not sure how they are going to sort out the loos mind. Also I'd prefer table service to queuing at a bar.
 
It's the staff in bars and restaurants I feel sorry for.

There will be people with underlying issues and those who live with or have close contact with shielders.

Accepting and taking on a level of personal risk is fine, but this whole thing is very messy and puts people in the most unenviable and difficult circumstances.

It should be made possible in what are unprecedented circumstances, in post-furlough world, for people to make a conscientious objection to the obligation to work in situations where their own or the health or loved ones, is at risk.

Obviously, you would need to have some documentary proof of such circumstances, but people could get it. There needs to be creative and understanding human responses on this as the situation progresses.
 
No worries mate. I was referring above to Gutersloh specifically. So when I looked yesterday, Gutersloh had 120 new infections in the last 7 days, per 100,000 people. I looked today and that figure is now 220. That translates as a total of 802 new infections over the last 7 days.

On a national level it's not that dramatic but still going up. For all of Germany it's 3805 new infections over the last 7 days, or 4.6 per 100,000 people. For comparison, about a week ago it was about 2300 new infections over the last 7 days.
That's a relief mate.
 
Yes, you did that alright. You underline there that you wont be prepared to open up unless you're allowed to shift from 2m to 1m...and that, it is generally accepted, increases ten-fold the chances of passing on an infection.

The risk doubles going by a study in the Lancet.

This provides crucial support for the current 2m social distancing rule in the UK. It suggests that by reducing this distance from 2m to 1m, the risk of infection would double.

https://hospitalhealthcare.com/covid-19/should-the-2m-social-distancing-rule-be-relaxed/

Any source for your "claim" that it increases the risk 'ten-fold'?
 
I know its a weekend figure, but we got this thing beat now - at least in the UK.
The big question as far as the virus is concerned is if there will be another wave, and if it'll have an annual pattern. But the way its looking right now, I think there's every cause for optimism. Business is bouncing back. Things are looking up.
This reads like it came out of Boris Johnson's gob.
 
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