One thing is clear --
Moyes' VORP* is off the charts.
I think the reason Martinez doesn't appeal to me is that logic for him being good (he's done "so well" at clubs with no money) is the same logic you'd use to justify keeping
Moyes. I genuinely don't understand why anyone who wants Moyes out would possibly want someone like Martinez. Martinez to me is the pick of people who love Moyes but accept that he may have to move on. To not like Moyes but to want Martinez is baffling. What's the logic?
I realize the scale is different (Wigan have even less going for them than we do) but he is probably going down. So what is the positive there? That an average manager would have been relegated by more points than Martinez? It's a pretty thin argument (although it could well be true it's just hard to make that case). It's the kind of argument those people would likely have a fit about if you used it to defend Moyes.
People talk about his style of play but his teams never score goals (pretty sure I looked at his record a while back and his teams were close to last in goals scored every single year), he has a 27% win percentage with his current club and he's probably going to get relegated ... and yet people will NSNO all over me for wanting to keep Moyes.
absolute mystery how we can all recognise his shortcomings but some are terrified to try and improve with a change - voodoo stuff.
That "mystery" has been explained literally thousands of times. Things you disagree with are not mysteries. An 8 out of 10 has shortcomings but if you fire that 8/10 you are far more likely to get something worse than better. There are a handful of 9's and 10's out there and I don't think we are likely to hire one for a variety of reasons (money, competence of BK, simple probability).
I wonder who Moyes fans would like to come in if he left?
Don't follow enough leagues to have an educated opinion. Even if we knew 100% he was leaving I'd still hesitate to offer a name. I'd generally prefer an "unknown" though -- they haven't failed yet.
By far the most likely scenario for our next manager is that he is fired after two or three years. I don't think ignoring that fact makes you a better Evertonian.
* It's one of those stats from American sports which everyone hates: Value over a replacement (average) player.