Current Affairs Ukraine

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Guardian 18.26

Russia has made ‘genuine headway’ after capturing Lysychansk, say western officials​

The capture of the city of Lysychansk in eastern Ukraine by Russian forces has meant Moscow has made “genuine headway”, while its forces in the south have shown signs of “better cooperation”, western officials said.

Western officials said the sustainability of Russia’s attacks on Ukraine was “challenging”, but described the impact on their munitions and morale as “remarkable”.

But one official said it “remains highly uncertain whether Russia will secure the limits of Donetsk oblast this year”.

Russia has made “some significant command changes” in recent weeks, one official said, notably the recently appointed Gen Sergei Surovikin, who has taken over command of the southern group of forces overseeing the occupation of southern Ukraine and the advances on the Donbas from the south.

The official said:

He’s a controversial figure even by the standards of Russian general officers. It is unclear whether it’s his influence which has led to the recent successes around Lysychansk, but certainly there’s been better cooperation amongst groups of forces on the Russian side than we saw in the earlier phases of the war.
There are “very serious issues” over the stocks of Russian munitions and of morale, an official said, while long-range weapons systems are starting to make a “significant operational difference for Ukraine”.

The Russians made rapid progress in the Donbass in the last few weeks.

"Consider this June 21 map of the Lysichansk cauldron as it was developing. The frontline extended over 125+ kilometers (78 miles).


ukrmap20220621-s.jpg







ukrmap20220705-s.jpg


The frontline has been shortened to 25 kilometer (15 miles). On Sunday 03/07/2022, the Russia Defense Ministry announced that it troops had 'liberated' 184 square kilometer over the last 24 hours."
 
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What happens to a company when its debts go unpaid
I believe that you are being deliberately obtuse.

If those companies who are owed securities want access to the money owed they will have to sue for it.

Gazprom will direct them to Citigroup who hold the funds frozen within their system. If they sue outside of Russia, nothing will be enforced. If they sue in Russia they'll get laughed out of court.

They'll probably go to the body responsible for the sanctions to get the money unfrozen as a sensible option.

Gazprom will continue selling gas as normal and at an inflated price.

No one in the west will however now offer a security to them, and they'll either find the offer from China or just have to dip into their record profits. Those who are 'suffering' are the ones expecting their payment and cannot get access to them or future returns on new security issues.

One thing that’s not happening is Gazprom collapsing.
 
What would these type of missiles be used for @Mutzo Nutzo and what are their capabilities
The HIMAR platforms in the video are configured with 6 pods so I would say they are configured for GMLRS rockets. Don’t know what types the US have supplied Ukraine with. They will either be M30/31 (range upto 84km) or ER GMLRS (range upto 150Km) IMO.

If you see footage of a HIMARS with 2 pods then they are firing Precision Strike missiles (range upto 500km) or if you see a single pod then they will be firing ATACMS(range upto 300Km).

All rocket types have inbuilt GPS guidance making them extremely accurate. They will probably be used against high-value targets in deep strike option (way behind enemy lines).

High value targets will be command and control stations, fuel and ammo dumps, EW units, ballistic missile launchers, SAM systems. They will be used with drones equipped with GPS datalinks to locate and provide targeting data for the rockets.
 
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