Just curious: How long does everyone think this war will last? And what do you think will be the end result?
My prediction.
Lughansk and Donetsk independent and then to join Russia. Crimea to be Russian without claim from Ukraine. Russia to control land corridor to Crimea as an official neutral zone.
Rest of Ukraine to remain independent but outside of NATO. It will be able to join EU but as it's a million miles from joining this will remain a pipe dream for a long time. No idea how the military situation within Ukraine will be arranged but can't see anything but a non-NATO independent force being acceptable to Russia, and Ukraine would surely not allow Russia or Belarus be part of it - Baltic and neighbouring states peacekeepers maybe?
Sanctions lifted, gas sold and Russia to rebuild Ukraine which it will do, and potentially try to take over the country by stealth and influence.
Could happen tomorrow, could take years. Animosity and skirmishes will last for years and reignite the situation back into war. It's all down to how much we need Russian gas and/ or tolerate people starving due to taking tens of millions of tons if wheat out the global marketplace.
Have to the wait for Putin to exit before any major re-set in relationship between West and Russia.