tsubaki
Player Valuation: £90m
Ukraine may not join NATO but security guarantees could be made by NATO countries. Russia will have to make some concessions too asking for Ukraine to be neutral and demilitarised would leave it easy pickings in the future, I'd say we will see land handed to Russia (officially recognised) this would be a buffer zone and the remainder of Ukraine come under some sort of NATO protection while not joining NATO.
TBF security guarantees short of NATO membership are worthless unless the countries guaranteeing things are going to declare war on Russia for any breaches.
Since they aren’t (and shouldn’t) then there are things that should be done instead, not the least of which should be doing what Finland did after the Continuation War and ensuring that the population as a whole would be able to cause severe damage to any invasion.
The rest of Europe and especially us needs to do this as well as rebuilding conventional forces, restoring military industrial capacity and having strategic independence.