Current Affairs Ukraine

[cooperman]

As with everything, treat with caution, but:



That would be significant

On five live earlier they said that it's mostly conscripts that are going in first (which was illegal under Russian law until the other day) with the sole purpose of using them to use up Ukrainian supplies

 

[stipe]

Kinda insane how low numbers of casualties are in modern wars (relatively speaking).

In 1914, also on battlefields of Ukraine (Galicia), in just first month of war from August to September, Austro-Hungarian army suffered 400 000 casualties while Russians around 300 000

 

[peteblue]

The Russians are pulling a lot of their naval assets from the East Med to around Syria. The reasoning behind this is yet to be disclosed but there’s a lot of talk.

Apparently, Kaliningrad and the Arctic have been getting probed by NATO forces over the past twenty-four hours, a lot. Turkey may be making a decision too.

Kaliningrad should be taken over, it’s a pain in the arse, and a reason for Russia to take over the Baltic’s. These things work both ways….

 

[Mrk]

On five live earlier they said that it's mostly conscripts that are going in first (which was illegal under Russian law until the other day) with the sole purpose of using them to use up Ukrainian supplies

Wouldn't surprise me in the slightest. Just shows how much love Putin has for his citizens eh

 

[Mutzo Nutzo]

The Russians are pulling a lot of their naval assets from the East Med to around Syria. The reasoning behind this is yet to be disclosed but there’s a lot of talk.

Apparently, Kaliningrad and the Arctic have been getting probed by NATO forces over the past twenty-four hours, a lot. Turkey may be making a decision too.

Strange one. My guess is that they are concerned that NATO AirPower may come into play in the Black Sea /NE Med and they don’t have enough air defence assets for their fleet.

Basically NATO owns the sky in the Med and Putin knows this - so his fleet are at risk in the event of an escalation.

By moving the fleet to Syria they come under their own S-400 air defence umbrella as well as significant fighter air cover from airbases in Syria.

 

[edge]

I thought it was weird that works IT went down after I offered him out.



It’s true. He’ll probably bring out Ivan Drago.



I’m on it. Lavrov fancies himself a master strategist, well I challenge him to a game of chess.

Rooting for you,
Get into them.

 

[Martin Alvito]

Strange one. My guess is that they are concerned that NATO AirPower may come into play in the Black Sea /NE Med and they don’t have enough air defence assets for their fleet.

Basically NATO owns the sky in the Med and Putin knows this - so his fleet are at risk in the event of an escalation.

By moving the fleet to Syria they come under their S400 air defence umbrella as well as significant fighter air cover.

Makes sense - we're making low-grade threats that he has to respond to, in order to weaken his ability to bring additional force to bear on Ukraine. They're not the sort of provocations likely to escalate, so they're safeish moves.

 

[PhilM]

Strange one. My guess is that they are concerned that NATO AirPower may come into play in the Black Sea /NE Med and they don’t have enough air defence assets for their fleet.

Basically NATO owns the sky in the Med and Putin knows this - so his fleet are at risk in the event of an escalation.

By moving the fleet to Syria they come under their own S-400 air defence umbrella as well as significant fighter air cover from airbases in Syria.

There’s a lot of growing talk that the Bosphorous may close or at least traffic will become more closely controlled. As you say, it’s a sign that they may be genuinely concerned.

 

[Lobster Johnson]

Kinda insane how low numbers of casualties are in modern wars (relatively speaking).

In 1914, also on battlefields of Ukraine (Galicia), in just first month of war from August to September, Austro-Hungarian army suffered 400 000 casualties while Russians around 300 000

The problem then was the technology of efficiently killing people was way ahead of the tactics of not getting killed.

 

[tsubaki]

Kinda insane how low numbers of casualties are in modern wars (relatively speaking).

In 1914, also on battlefields of Ukraine (Galicia), in just first month of war from August to September, Austro-Hungarian army suffered 400 000 casualties while Russians around 300 000

Indeed. On the first day of the Somme, up against (relatively) modern artillery, machine guns and rifles the British Army lost nearly 20,000 men in what was probably the single most costly day in British military history.

At Cannae, up against the iron swords, spears, javelins, slings and bows and arrows of the Carthaginians the Romans lost nearly 50000 men in twelve hours (with the killing concentrated at the end).

 

[Bluerover]

Far from it.

LLB and BA first class - doing an MA at the moment. Still, I am sure we have some Profs and Docs on here.

 

[edge]

There’s a lot of growing talk that the Bosphorous may close or at least traffic will become more closely controlled. As you say, it’s a sign that they may be genuinely concerned.

Turkey are in Nato and that should worry Russia if Turkey come under pressure to close it.

 

[PhilM]

Kinda insane how low numbers of casualties are in modern wars (relatively speaking).

In 1914, also on battlefields of Ukraine (Galicia), in just first month of war from August to September, Austro-Hungarian army suffered 400 000 casualties while Russians around 300 000

Poor tactics, bloody minded officers who were still fighting as if in the 19th Century, little or no protection and medical treatments that weren’t much better than 1800s.

 

[Lapeno77]

Couple of USAF tankers over Poland and Romania.

 

[PhilM]

Couple of USAF tankers over Poland and Romania. View attachment 157153

There’ll be constant use of AEW&Cs monitoring what’s going on in the Ukraine and elsewhere.