I don’t profess to be a military expert of any kind but what’s the general feeling from those ITK about the causes of what’s seemingly a full-scale collapse of the Russians?
Obviously Ukraine are boxing clever around supply lines etc but still…
And all this even before the rag-tag band of trampy conscripts arrive.
If you look at it objectively Russia started this “SMO” with about 190K troops. Estimates reveal that they’ve lost about 60K killed and about 120K wounded/MIA. They have brought in PMC’s, emptied Kaliningrad’ mobilised the Donbas and brought more reserves from the east but IMO they don’t have enough troops to maintain proper defensive lines over the entire area (which is massive).
So the Ukes have attacked the Ru C2 and logistics hubs with long range precision strikes, shattered the Ru comms networks, then launched lightening strikes against the weak points in their lines. They then moved quickly to trap Ru troop concentrations and then whack them.
The Ukes are well trained, well equipped motivated professionals who fight like lions and with lots of weapons and support from the West. Meanwhile the Russians are poorly trained, poorly equipped, with little or no leadership and poor morale. Their arty support has been stripped away and they don’t have air superiority (in fact if a Russian aircraft flies it probably dies). In summary they’re a mess.