Current Affairs Ukraine

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So the 4 areas will be "officially" Russia. Well I guess an oppressed people occupying a disputed territory went well in Israel so why shouldn't it here.
 
So the 4 areas will be "officially" Russia. Well I guess an oppressed people occupying a disputed territory went well in Israel so why shouldn't it here.

The raft of new laws, draft resolutions etc which just need to pass the upper Duma and be signed off by Putin is very thought out.

The referendum will obviously go in favour of joining the RF.
New laws tightening hugely on draft dodging, and several other laws designed to punish 'not fighting'
Draft resolution to upper Duma to grant citizenship after one year in the armed forces, also scraps the restriction on none Russian passport holders joining the armed forces (previously thru would have to join an equivalent of a volunteer force (example being trying to recruit in Uzbekistan a 'volunteer' unit, rather than recruiting the millions of Uzbeks already within Russia.
Partial mobilization - limited to actual reserves and 'experts'.

The host of measures have been thought out for their implications, the 4 regions joining Russia proper and defacto becoming Russian territory (from the Russian pov I know it will not be recognized by nearly any other country) will change the mindset of a huge percentage of the Russian population towards these areas, I saw how patriotism kicked in with Crimea once it did the same and it went from people shrugging about the Crimea situation to becoming VERY patriotic over the place. It's a move designed to bolster popular support (via patriotism) for otherwise unpopular decisions (partial mobilization, likely an imminent war declaration I'd guess too).

It's a clear escalation by the RF, question now becomes how does the West/Ukraine respond and is this escalation on a trajectory towards further escalatory actions, or us it a push to escalate to de-escalate. Only time will show but it's concerning hugely as any escalation is
 
Cos they'll be rigged.
Likely - but unlikely to need to be, regions where pro Russian way back in 2014 the effective civil war in the region likely strengthened that support, and once this war started in Feb a good proportion of the pro Ukraine population will have went west. So a variety of factors kinda ensures the vote would go a certain way regardless

Not that that overly matters as dunno how you can have a referendum in the middle of an active area of a war - by the nature of it you couldn't vote freely (I do t know many who'd be saying no regardless of their belief in that scenario)
 
Fake referendums, pantomime speeches. What a circus.

So partial mobilization of 300K reservists. If they have a problem supplying and arming what they already have deployed how the hell do they think they can make this work?

It doesn’t fix their fundamental problems on the battlefield of poor logistics and supply, poor leadership, poor communications and no air superiority.

They’re just sending more bodies to the meat grinder just like the siege of Stalingrad in WWII.

Just more Putin Willy-waving before he hits the sunshine button?
 
Fake referendums, pantomime speeches. What a circus.

So partial mobilization of 300K reservists. If they have a problem supplying and arming what they already have deployed how the hell do they think they can make this work?

It doesn’t fix their fundamental problems on the battlefield of poor logistics and supply, poor leadership, poor communications and no air superiority.

They’re just sending more bodies to the meat grinder just like the siege of Stalingrad in WWII.

Just more Putin Willy-waving before he hits the sunshine button?

Sending overwhelming numbers of poorly trained conscripts has been the Russian way of waging war since WW1. They actually still (as I'm sure you know, you're much better informed than I) have some decent equipment, it's just too specialised to be of any use when things aren't going as they want. They're also crap at joint arms ops and all of their junior officers are too terrified of reprisals to take any initiative.

One interesting thing I read about the air side of this conflict was that whilst the Russians supplied somewhere in the region of 120 fighter bombers for use in Ukraine, they only sent 70 pilots.
 
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