Still think its a pretty narrow Biden win but don't see the landslide some are predicting. Think the polls are over estimating the Biden vote. Lots are backing Biden because hes not Trump basically, and thats fine, but it means some might bother turning out in the end because they aren't that enthusiastic.
I also imagine there is a bit of a shy Trump thing going on in the states like the shy Tory idea we have here. The 92 general election makes me think if something similar could be at play with Trump where people switch or make their mind up on polling day. Incumbents tend to benefit with this.
I think there's been too much early voting though for that to actually help Trump win but it will stop Biden getting a landslide. I'm starting to have a sneaky feeling that Florida may buck the trend this time too where Trump holds on there but loses the election.
I also imagine there is a bit of a shy Trump thing going on in the states like the shy Tory idea we have here. The 92 general election makes me think if something similar could be at play with Trump where people switch or make their mind up on polling day. Incumbents tend to benefit with this.
I think there's been too much early voting though for that to actually help Trump win but it will stop Biden getting a landslide. I'm starting to have a sneaky feeling that Florida may buck the trend this time too where Trump holds on there but loses the election.