Talking about trade percentages and tariffs with regard to the border is missing the point.
It's simple, any return to a visible border will be deemed as a breach of the GFA and will, in time, lead to a return of violence.
The RoI, backed by the EU, will only accept an invisible border that doesn't interrupt the movement of goods or people.
The only way for this to happen is for NI to stay in the single market.
The only way for that to happen is for the DUP to be removed from power via general election.
A new UK government can negotiate terms of NI remaining in the UK and the EU single market.
This may lead to Scotland demanding the same status.
The other option is a hard brexit which will require secured borders. This would be challenged in court and has the potential to drag on for years, even decades, leaving the UK economy in a state of flux and could lead to NI and Scotland leaving the UK.
If everybody is in agreement that neither side paid enough attention to NI, it might make sense to vote again, this time with all the facts.
No major party will advocate for a second referendum, so untill the UK public elects 'Remain' MPs, this whole thing will rumble on doing continuous damage to the UK economy.
It's simple, any return to a visible border will be deemed as a breach of the GFA and will, in time, lead to a return of violence.
The RoI, backed by the EU, will only accept an invisible border that doesn't interrupt the movement of goods or people.
The only way for this to happen is for NI to stay in the single market.
The only way for that to happen is for the DUP to be removed from power via general election.
A new UK government can negotiate terms of NI remaining in the UK and the EU single market.
This may lead to Scotland demanding the same status.
The other option is a hard brexit which will require secured borders. This would be challenged in court and has the potential to drag on for years, even decades, leaving the UK economy in a state of flux and could lead to NI and Scotland leaving the UK.
If everybody is in agreement that neither side paid enough attention to NI, it might make sense to vote again, this time with all the facts.
No major party will advocate for a second referendum, so untill the UK public elects 'Remain' MPs, this whole thing will rumble on doing continuous damage to the UK economy.