orly
Please check with me for Blammo criteria
My understanding is that the Commission and the 28 other MSs would agree to an extension IF it includes a referendum on the proposed deal and/or on the question of leaving. A General Election would also be a reson to give an extension.
They will not be happy at an extension that simply kicks it further down the road.
Opinion polls indicate that the UK electorate would again vote to leave, but I am unsure about if they would vote to accept the deal.
27 MS - we are the other one. And it woukd need to be a unanimous decision, and very recently, I think this likelihood has changed significantly.
On your final point. It's an extraordinarily complicated "deal" document. If an FEP is agreed, it would be even worse. Do people honestly think its contents should be opened up to a public vote?
I don't see an extension at all. Letwin yesterday conceded there are significant holes in the Benn Act for one. And "remain becomes more likely if there is an extension" is completely wrong.