Yeah, there was a good explanation of that in this threadDeath rates lag, but also importantly there is a Simpson's paradox at play when you aggregate data across all ages/regions. But imagine how much lower the death rates would be if he simply told Americans to wear a mask and led by example.
I just can’t see how you can look at Arizona, which is a couple of weeks ahead, and say it is going to turn out different in other states that have rapidly increasing cases. Medical staff have learnt a lot since New York’s awful experience but there is only so much they can do with procedures/drug treatments.
And Trump can’t even warn his own supporters to wear a mask or tell them that there is a real danger to their health and the increasing cases across the south aren’t just due to increased testing
