9th sounds good, 11 points from 4th does too.
But if we're saying that, I think we need to also acknowledge 3 points from 14th - which would be backwards on both our previous seasons. That's not moving in the right direction. We've scored less this season vs Dyches full season, and remove 10 points as we did this time then and we sit where Forest are.
It's small margins, we're talking 1-3 results can mean the difference between 'wow we finished x' and 'what a terrible season'
So either Moyes is the right man, or he isn't. If you're changing that opinion on Moyes, of all managers, based on such margins then I'd suggest maybe reconsider.
Where do you think this squad should be finishing?