Cricket

The chances currently rated as draw 49%, England win (don't think they've seen the forecast) 41%, West Indies 10%

In reality I just can't see how on earth England can win in the likely time available, even if they played out of their skins.

West Indies play extremely well and bowling first you have a chance to win in three days, but how on earth do you do it batting first, you just can't, you need to enforce a follow on and even then it's tough.

Winning the toss and bowling the only option really.

Being bowled out for a relatively low score of say 230-270, then restricting the West Indies to maybe a 50 deficit, is the best way to win a rain-shortened test.
 
You can in a low scoring game. Score 250, bowl them out for 180, score 180, bowl them out again. Not saying that's what I expect to happen, but it's a fairly straightforward and plausible scenario. You just never know with the weather in England, if it's 3 days play you'll struggle to do that, 3 1/2 and it's a definite possibility.

Yeah reading about the history of the county championship, in days gone by they used to play 3 days as the norm - it became dependant on how good a negotiator your captain was when he got together with his opposite number, he then had to agree on a mutually beneficial declaration to set a target for a contrived finish. Not ideal but a captain who had top negotiating skills was worth his weight in gold.
 
Looking odds on a draw

The probability graph showing Draw 54%, England win 43% (How though?), West Indies win 3%

I think the rain will definitely save them and just can't work out how on earth we can even attempt to win with possibly only two days left.

Arguably it was leaving out Root and Broad from the first test which has cost them dear in a rain ruined series. Their eye has definitely been on longer term and the need to not rely on Anderson and Broad playing, even though they've backtracked on it.
 
Good partnership this and at a crucial time. 300 will be very competitive.
Totally mate, this partnership has turned the game round. Have to say, I prefer lower scoring test matches, they make for more compelling Cricket. But this partnership could be the making of Pope and set the game up nicely, even with inclement weather ahead.
 
Looking odds on a draw

The probability graph showing Draw 54%, England win 43% (How though?), West Indies win 3%

I think the rain will definitely save them and just can't work out how on earth we can even attempt to win with possibly only two days left.

Arguably it was leaving out Root and Broad from the first test which has cost them dear in a rain ruined series. Their eye has definitely been on longer term and the need to not rely on Anderson and Broad playing, even though they've backtracked on it.

Those predicters have been harsh to the windies all series, they were something crap like 5% when they were 3 down in the first test only chasing 200.
 

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