Cricket

The chances currently rated as draw 49%, England win (don't think they've seen the forecast) 41%, West Indies 10%

In reality I just can't see how on earth England can win in the likely time available, even if they played out of their skins.

West Indies play extremely well and bowling first you have a chance to win in three days, but how on earth do you do it batting first, you just can't, you need to enforce a follow on and even then it's tough.

Winning the toss and bowling the only option really.
 
On the plus side, I'm just back from shopping and popped into the charity shop while I was out and picked up a lovely hardback copy of Fred Trueman the authorised Biography by Chris Waters in new condition for 50p.

From wiki, Fred's classic quote on (Sir) Geoffrey of Yorkshire

If Geoffrey had played cricket the way he talked he would have had people queuing up to get into the ground instead of queuing up to leave.
Fred Trueman on Boycott's commentating career in 1993
 
The chances currently rated as draw 49%, England win (don't think they've seen the forecast) 41%, West Indies 10%

In reality I just can't see how on earth England can win in the likely time available, even if they played out of their skins.

West Indies play extremely well and bowling first you have a chance to win in three days, but how on earth do you do it batting first, you just can't, you need to enforce a follow on and even then it's tough.

Winning the toss and bowling the only option really.
You can in a low scoring game. Score 250, bowl them out for 180, score 180, bowl them out again. Not saying that's what I expect to happen, but it's a fairly straightforward and plausible scenario. You just never know with the weather in England, if it's 3 days play you'll struggle to do that, 3 1/2 and it's a definite possibility.
 

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