Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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It does mate, this is well known, 70% protection, that begins to wane after 10 weeks (is my understanding), antibody response doesn't dissapear then it just starts to wane. While you also have to account for a T Cell stimulated response from the booster to.
Thanks mate...it feels like I'm talking to a massive brick wall sometimes but glad some info is getting accepted on here.

Do i think its necessary, definitely personally, but people will choose what they want to do after weighing up, in my opinion it will protect society through flu season- clinically the most vulnerable time of the year and into March. Where we know the seasonality aspect will kick in, April/May.
I respect your opinion, tho' personally have a different view. However my main issue has always been the second bolded bit...this choice is being legally taken away in Austria and possibly my country Germany. And in UK the unvaccinated are horrendously demonised, which puts social pressures on many of them to get the jab despite their own weighing up speaking against it.

And as we know, the unvaccinated now effectively include the double-jabbed. Even Boris has changed Javid's tune from 90% of intensive are unvaccinated (which was wrong anyway), to 90% of hospitalised are not boostered. And Israel have basically confirmed so.




We go again in August and protect for the winter, the great optimism in between is for the anti viral and perhaps an Omicron specific (or whatever vairent) or who knows maybe a universal vaccine.
We already had effective proven treatments: monoclonal antibodies, tho' Regeneron have said similar to the vaccine firms: that their treatment appears less effective against Omicron, and are working on a modified treatment.

Personally, looking at the data - only 0.05% of infected ending up in ICU - I think we should declare the virus endemic, focus on protecting the at-risk (for them masks, quarantine during peak waves, recommending vaccines etc) and invest in mass-providing proven treatments for the hospitalised to protect the NHS.

The rest of society should get back to normal...urgently...lest we forget what normal was.
 
Can’t wait for Boris and his chums to claim that their tactics have been a raging success when infection levels drop like a stone later.

The reality of course will be a lack of available testing resulting in fewer cases being detected.
 
Can’t wait for Boris and his chums to claim that their tactics have been a raging success when infection levels drop like a stone later.

The reality of course will be a lack of available testing resulting in fewer cases being detected.
Out of all the conspiracy theories going, this is just about the worst.
 
Can’t wait for Boris and his chums to claim that their tactics have been a raging success when infection levels drop like a stone later.

The reality of course will be a lack of available testing resulting in fewer cases being detected.
Good, test people who are actually sick... it's what will start to happen soon anyway..
 
Can’t wait for Boris and his chums to claim that their tactics have been a raging success when infection levels drop like a stone later.

The reality of course will be a lack of available testing resulting in fewer cases being detected.
This has been the tactic of all the governments.

The reality is the virus does what is wants, regardless of mandates. Pretty much all countries with similar population densities show similar peaks & troughs of how the virus went through society. Omicron is slicing through every mandate like butter.
 
Thanks mate...it feels like I'm talking to a massive brick wall sometimes but glad some info is getting accepted on here.


I respect your opinion, tho' personally have a different view. However my main issue has always been the second bolded bit...this choice is being legally taken away in Austria and possibly my country Germany. And in UK the unvaccinated are horrendously demonised, which puts social pressures on many of them to get the jab despite their own weighing up speaking against it.

And as we know, the unvaccinated now effectively include the double-jabbed. Even Boris has changed Javid's tune from 90% of intensive are unvaccinated (which was wrong anyway), to 90% of hospitalised are not boostered. And Israel have basically confirmed so.





We already had effective proven treatments: monoclonal antibodies, tho' Regeneron have said similar to the vaccine firms: that their treatment appears less effective against Omicron, and are working on a modified treatment.

Personally, looking at the data - only 0.05% of infected ending up in ICU - I think we should declare the virus endemic, focus on protecting the at-risk (for them masks, quarantine during peak waves, recommending vaccines etc) and invest in mass-providing proven treatments for the hospitalised to protect the NHS.

The rest of society should get back to normal...urgently...lest we forget what normal was.

All good mate, i think its been widely publicized the antibody and efficacy of the booster and its antibody wane. Personally i think to much focus goes on antibodies and not enough on T Cell response in protection, which the booster also stimulates.

I tend to agree with you mate, im not an advocate of vaccine mandates, thats not to say im not pro vaccine - i very much am, but in my line of work in health care an area i have in the past got very deeply immersed, is in healthcare ethics ( informed consent being one), human rights and the human rights/legislation in terms of all the afore mentioned. The principal of informed consent, as a fundamental human right is paramount in my opinion, there are many laws internationally and domestically that enshrines and builds safe guards around these rights.. Thats not to say im not pro vaccine - i am, but everyone has a fundamental human right to make what others feel is is an unwise or risky decision, once they have the capacity, within the scope of the law. I believe if we change that it sets a dangerous precedent and scope in the future, to challenge informed consent and human rights. I wouldn't be supportive of Austria's approach, nor what Germany are debating for the reasons i mentioned. Nor vaccine mandates for health care workers. Many would disagree with me there, i know.

Im not sure those figures are indicative mate, as we talked about before sheer volumes outweigh a naked stat like you present. 90% of people in The Uk have had some vaccine, 10% not. So the number of hospitalizations and ICU admission is disproportionately high amongst the 10% of the population on all the metrics as opposed to 90% of the population. We spoke before about a representative sample of 100k of the population vaxed and unvaxed as a better metric for each of the incidences. You also have to factor children as well, who havent had a vaccine yet, thats a huge population of the unvaccinated, while i know pregnant women are also very hesitant to - who under different circumstances would be open to be vaccinated, so i believe that 10% of say active hesitants is far lower - which represents a larger degree of willful instance comparatively to overall %. - if that makes sense.

To be more illustrative, the below is from the CDC - i picked them because of the 60%/40% odd ratio between vaccinated and unvaccinated in the States, which is as close to 50% split we may get in the Western world, the following was found pro rata:



Source:

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#rates-by-vaccine-status

We need to be very open minded on treatment as you say mate, i remember in the early stages Dex and other steriods were a gift and there are new developments all the time, the great hope in the new year are the antivirals and if effective will make vaccination less polarised - though they are expensive.

This is the thing with so much around Covid debate - it becomes to poloraized, there doesn't have to be camps, i listen to everything, am open minded on everything whether it be opinion, trends or treatments, you weigh it all up for yourself but ultimately people in any role in all of this in humanity are making the best decisions they can, with the best information for what they believe are the right reasons.
 
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Shortage of lateral flow kits, this lot in charge make laugh , everyone take a test so you can go out on the piss great. Next week we go back to work properly. Alot of workers requiring test kits ,flippin joke. Surely if they haven't got enough kits they should be advising the public to stay in if you have symptoms ffs it's only a night out were next week people need them for they're livelihoods.
 
Oh i know that mate, but with Omicorn being that bit milder, that strategy i often hear, so just making the point really.

Im not sure on that mate, the figures are subjective. The Uk for all their problems with testing, do give free antigen testing and are doing a million a day. Im not sure that test return equates to the figures you project. Even with a margin of error, im not sure 50% of cases are missing. Even if it was i dont think you could run a public health programme based on on a subjective margin of error.

If you run the Uk case numbers, vs testing, vs a realistic margin error - for what ever reason you arent far off the numbers we ran for Ireland. Then their is the shifting sands component of waning antibodies through natural/vaccination antibody reduction, in essence both are moving targets, hence the booster.

and @grandjoeblue

It doesn't matter as such if 50% of cases are being missed. Those cases will be, by and large, asymptomatic or extremely extremely mild and won't end up with people being in hospital.

The obsession with case numbers needs to stop.
 
and @grandjoeblue

It doesn't matter as such if 50% of cases are being missed. Those cases will be, by and large, asymptomatic or extremely extremely mild and won't end up with people being in hospital.

The obsession with case numbers needs to stop.

What? I mentioned the missed cases as it means we're much closer to the peak? The comments were nothing to do with correctly counting cases. I've always thought the positive percentage is a much more useful figure - when that starts going above 15% you know you've got a big outbreak.
 
Literally came over me in the space of about half an hour yesterday evening. One minute I was fine, next minute I started getting dizzy and my temperature skyrocketed. Got the works after that, headache, sore throat, cough, sneezes, runny nose. Didn't sleep a wink last night






Think I got complacent myself if I'm honest. Ironically was due my booster jab today
Hopefully you feel better soon mate.

FWIW, I can say for certainty that this time around is far better than the first time I had it. Appreciate there's a load of factors in play with that. It just feels like a bit of a cold and then the fatigue sets in at night which, for me, is the only tell tale sign that it's even COVID, because it's that symptom that was the worst for me in the summer. Hopefully you don't have any symptoms that get worse than that!!

Wouldn't blame yourself. Everyone is going to be exposed to Omicron. It is for all purposes very much like a cold in how it spreads and nobody goes around blaming themselves for catching a cold!
 
What? I mentioned the missed cases as it means we're much closer to the peak? The comments were nothing to do with correctly counting cases. I've always thought the positive percentage is a much more useful figure - when that starts going above 15% you know you've got a big outbreak.
Sorry mate, I got the wrong end of the stick.

I'm just seeing loads of stuff like 'the UK is underreporting etc but we know that. However, we can get a good gauge on when the peak is happening by when the confirmed cases peak. It's a smaller percentage of one bigger number, obviously, but as infections peak, so will confirmed cases.
 
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