What? We have totally flattened the curve. Look at Merica and Brazil. Thats not flattening the curve.
The local difficulties have been Leicester, (dealing with), Weston Super Mare, (dealt with), and an A&E dept in London, (if we all believe twitter).
Oh, and 3 pubs this weekend. Out of 0000's that must have opened.
Dont be complacent, dont be a bell, and this will eventually either go away, be cured, or become part of a new normal.
All the stats tell you that we have flattened the curve as you say. When you look at the deaths you see that compared to 7 days earlier, which is the best way to measure it really due to the way the stats are collected, the figures are coming down week by week, and the 7 day rolling average is now below 100. Still too high but that's a legacy of poor decisions made earlier in the crisis. The number of people in hospitals are also coming down weekly, as are the numbers in ICUs and the daily admissions to hospitals.
The numbers testing positive daily have also been under 1000 for over a week now. So despite all the various decisions that have been made over the last 4/6 weeks, such as opening up travel, allowing small groups, going to the beaches and parks, opening schools to some students and opening up none essential shopping and garden centres, the infection rate, on the back of much higher testing figures, has continued to come down. This is also despite some horrendous scenes at a minority of beaches, street parties, demonstrations, raves, riots and RS nobheads celebrating.
The next acid test will be in a couple of weeks time when we see the reaction to opening up pubs and restaurants and reducing the SD rule to 1 metre. But so far, it has to be said that the government are doing an OK job in opening up the economy again, and that's mainly down to the majority of people behaving sensibly and sticking to the SD rules. Yes there are the exceptions, mainly youngsters to be fair, but I don't think these are anywhere near as prevalent as our media would like us to believe.
I hope we don't see a sharp rise in infections as a result of the latest moves. We will always get some infections due to the numbers that don't follow the rules, but if we can keep them down to the existin g levels then out track and trace can easily keep on top of it. Even if they do start to creep up, we are much better placed to deal with it now than we were in March/April. We have the testing capacity, we have spent billions on making the right type of PPE in sufficient numbers, we have more ICUs, ventilators and breathing apparatus, and we know more about the disease now and the medication to fight it. Most of all we also now know to keep the most at risk protected and have the ability to do that.
As you say, until a vaccine is produced, this is something that we have to learn to live with.