the end of the EU Transitional period, if it goes ahead as planned, will absolutely destroy the economy in the short term. There’ll be no furloughing to help businesses through the situation, it’ll be a case “find your own solution”.
You could see small business fold over night due to massive delays at the border; if these checks are referred inland there’ll be a gaping hole for exploitation.
Yes it doesn’t have an immediate public health impact like COVID-19, but the far greater implications will be detrimental to a generation.
couple all that with the current lockdown situation and it’s a massive recipe for disaster