So,
The UK’s tactics for dealing with Covid 19 are going well.
Deaths up to near 1000 in the last 24hrs with no end in sight.
Who’s culpable?
The scientists, the government, the irresponsible people or the whole lot of them.
In this article:
https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKBN21P1X8 it says by March 2 " the coronavirus was now transmitting freely in the UK ", the truth is that the 55,000 confirmed cases are just the tip of the iceberg, the number of people who are infected in England is way way higher, nobody in the World has a clue whats the number in any country, for experiment sake, let's say the current number is 1 million, most of them will recover in few weeks time and unfortunately few thousands will die, testing right now is basically meaningless, unless you test the whole population in one day and isolate the infected, since you can not do that, lockdown and social distancing is in place to reduce the amount of new infections, without any measures, the 1 million were going to infect the remaining population in few weeks time.
With the lockdown and the rest of the measures, the 1 million will infect few thousands more, in the same time the 1 million are recovering and unfortunately dying, so each passing day the number of people infecting new people is going down, that creates something called "Active cases", lets say right now there 900,000 active cases (the rest recovered/dead) in few weeks time those 900,000 will become zero (they will recover or die) but the question is, how many more people will they infect from now till then? they will infect new people and those new people will infect more new people, how many more? nobody has an answer since nobody knows how many are infected and how many are still going out and mixing with infected people, but logic says with all the measures in place, those numbers should be very low and keep on decreasing daily, so few weeks later once you reach the peak and numbers start going down rapidly (which is currently happening in Italy) authorities will/can interfere when a new case arrives to the hospital, they can go after all the people this new person came in contact with the past 2 weeks and test them and isolate the positive cases, once you reach that stage and new cases are being tracked and all their contacts tested/isolated, you take control of the situation and stop the virus from spreading and you end up with no new cases.
If you remove the lock-down early, within few weeks you will go back to having 1 million new cases and back to square one.
So the more people stay indoors now, the sooner it will be over, but if you still have lets say 25% of the population ignoring the lock-down and mixing with each others, the virus will keep on spreading and this thing will drag to months and months of new waves of new cases, that's the reason it's not looking good for USA, no idea about UK since im not local.