Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race

[emir]

Mate 20% of those registered republicans didn’t vote for trump in the primaries.

And you are excluding independents that total c80k.

Serious question, do you just repost high level data without thinking about what it means?

Do you think ice cream causes bee stings?

I'm not excluding the independents. I'm commenting on the trend, which is clearly on Trump's favor.

 

[emir]

This is hilarious:

 

[spectateur]

Wasn't long ago we were all bleaching shopping and running round in face nappies. I can believe it.

And all those who though god would save them.
I can believe it too.

 

[Noisy noise annoys]

Definitely recommend trying a yoga especially if you already do Pilates. Its a great workout in its own right, great for breathing and balance, and a great compliment to the pilates.

I do cheat, I sometimes do yoga with Adrienne on youtube - she is somewhat distracting though....

 

[Noisy noise annoys]

This is hilarious:

Given your name and your love of white Americans, your hatred of immigrants is perverse tbh

 

[JP5]

I'm not excluding the independents. I'm commenting on the trend, which is clearly on Trump's favor.

But again, there was no primary in 2020 and you are assuming the same proportion of republicans will vote for trump as they did in 2020 (95%).

Of the 20% of republican voters that didn’t vote for him in the primaries, what % do you think will in the GE?

You are extrapolating data when there has been a regime shift.

That being said, if the same proportion of democrats vote for Harris as they did Biden (98%) and the same proportion for trump (95%). Based on the figures above he’d still lose. Only marginally, but he still would.

That’s the problem with blindly sharing and saying things like ‘it’s over’.

 

[LostLegend]

The TDS is debilitating.

Ah yes, Trump Derangement Syndrome.
The get-out-of-jail-free-card smooth-brains who struggle to formulate a coherent argument use to deflect criticism from their candidate of choice.

No one’s buying it btw.

 

[Connor]

Harris wins, and wins quite comfortably

Trump claims a win and refuses to concede. There is another bit of civil unrest

Harris is inaugurated in January

Trump dies in prison

 

[FrenchDarrenBent]

With the previous suspect betting I am veiwing odds as being seen as a marketing tool by certainly one camp.

I have a hard time believing this one. It would take billions of dollars to significantly change the odds.
And to what end? To change the perception he's losing the election?

This is the current situation

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

 

[Ruairi77]

This is hilarious:

Extra funny given musk was an illegal immigrant.

 

[Spadge Vernacular]

I have a hard time believing this one. It would take billions of dollars to significantly change the odds.
And to what end? To change the perception he's losing the election?

This is the current situation

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html

 

[ToffeeTim]

What time do we expect to start getting the results?

Basically deciding whether I'll stay up late or go to bed and get up early like 5am

 

[catcherintherye]

I have a hard time believing this one. It would take billions of dollars to significantly change the odds.
And to what end? To change the perception he's losing the election?

This is the current situation

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

Betting is often wrong.

 

[JP5]

What time do we expect to start getting the results?

Basically deciding whether I'll stay up late or go to bed and get up early like 5am

I’m doing the latter deffo.

 

[catcherintherye]

It's a wrap.

You've lost.

As a quick question, how did you think 2022 and 2020 would go? Who did you think would win?