Ralston has a pretty good feel for his state but those are razor thin margins
Current Affairs 2024 POTUS race
- Thread starter Ruairi77
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Trump’s tarrifs will make cost of living considerably higher
Last time he “ran the country pretty well”his tariffs caused huge problems for farmers with many going bankrupt and even the bailout he provided was poorly managed
Dozens of Iowa farmers get less than $25 from Trump tariff assistance, data show
Some Iowa farmers, many corn growers, got less than $25. \www.desmoinesregister.com
It’s really funny how few people grasp the impact of tariffs.
Especially those people who are capitalist.
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When did he start with the Jimmy Saville catch phrase?
A lot of people equate capitalism with any form of commerce, and think that if you're not a capitalist then you must be a communist and want the government to control every aspect of society and hand out all food, goods etc.
They don't realise that capitalism isn't about commerce but capital, ie using what you own to make your money. The landlords, landowners, investors etc get rich not from work, but by their ownership of assets. People like the guy in the video have no capital, and therefore can only bring their labour to the market. In his being a capitalist is supporting fatcats getting rich doing nothing, whilst he toils.
Why is it only when Kamala wins it in a runway? It should be the same for Trump as well.
bluestevon
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Why don't you just say a woman's right to abort a child ?
What other right besides that did trump talk about women's 'healthcare decisions' which frankly is a sly way LL of you to try to disguise what it's about.
bluestevon
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Yeah mate, all those decisions he's making must really true him out, "do I eat gummy bears or not?"
Those margins indicate a Trump victory.
Ralston's margin had Biden at +5 in 2020.
Why's Harris a poor candidate?
Because it's a healthcare decision?
I'm going to suggest that you educate yourself a bit more on this matter rather than accuse LL of something nefarious or deceptive.
if you outlaw abortion in a state you'll end up losing a lot of OBGYN's.
Planned Parenthood centers will close down, these centers provide cancer screenings for cervical and breast cancer among other services.
Basically, if you ban abortion in rural America, lots of other womens health services go with it.
Death rates in childbirth increase. Infant mortality increases. Support for victims of rape and incest decrease.
These are just some of the healthcare decisions that are taken from women when you ban abortion in an American state.
The poorer you are the more you are affected.
Is it time for predictions yet? And why?
I’m saying Harris by a more comfortable margin than people expect.
A) I think pollsters are accounting for silent trump voters in a way they haven’t in the past so as not to get caught again whereas some people are expecting the same dynamic as in the past that the polls are underestimating people who are silent voters.
B) I also think that there will be far fewer actual silent trump voters than in past elections
C) people are reading too much into early voting figures relative to 2020. Yes they are a good example of voter enthusiasm but 2020 was during a pandemic and relatively at the time democrats were far more likely vote early as a result. I think the trend for early voting post pandemic, like WFH for example, is on an upward trajectory going forward
D) a lot of people are looking at the selzer poll in absolute terms when it’s more the direction of travel and the impact elsewhere. I don’t think Harris will win IA. But even if the poll is overestimating harris’ numbers by 8%, it would still represent a significant improvement relative to 2020 which would have big implications in other states. Plus being out by 8% would represent a large margin of error from that pollster relative to her past accuracy.
Just my read and prediction off the back of what I’ve seen.
I’m saying Harris by a more comfortable margin than people expect.
A) I think pollsters are accounting for silent trump voters in a way they haven’t in the past so as not to get caught again whereas some people are expecting the same dynamic as in the past that the polls are underestimating people who are silent voters.
B) I also think that there will be far fewer actual silent trump voters than in past elections
C) people are reading too much into early voting figures relative to 2020. Yes they are a good example of voter enthusiasm but 2020 was during a pandemic and relatively at the time democrats were far more likely vote early as a result. I think the trend for early voting post pandemic, like WFH for example, is on an upward trajectory going forward
D) a lot of people are looking at the selzer poll in absolute terms when it’s more the direction of travel and the impact elsewhere. I don’t think Harris will win IA. But even if the poll is overestimating harris’ numbers by 8%, it would still represent a significant improvement relative to 2020 which would have big implications in other states. Plus being out by 8% would represent a large margin of error from that pollster relative to her past accuracy.
Just my read and prediction off the back of what I’ve seen.
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