Current Affairs Ukraine

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The support of Belarus too makes the other Baltic countries easy targets if they fancy taking those

But there's nothing NATO or the EU or the US or UK can do.

Russia have the power, they have China's backing to boot and let's face it, they'll go invade Taiwan next.

China invading Taiwan will result in full blown war. That simply can’t be allowed to happen.
 
Putin doesn't need approval, he'll do what he wants and has done for however long he's been in power. There's more to this than just him having an ego boost.

You need an element of approval, there is a history of people overthrowing their leaders there afterall.

If he continues to suppress opposition and quality of life appears to drop without the unifying/distraction act of something like a war then things could get ugly for him. Now he can say he pulled the west's trousers down and expanded the empire etc.
 
Putin doesn't need approval, he'll do what he wants and has done for however long he's been in power. There's more to this than just him having an ego boost.

You're being very naive if you don't believe there's a strong egotistical driving factor behind this. He wants to be the man to unite the USSR - he's never recognised Ukraine as a sovereign state.
 
What happened to that rival Russian politician who released that video about Putins corruption a year or so ago, then went into hiding, returned to Russia, got arrested and then went on hunger strike in prison ? Is he still alive ?
 
It's not really the main event until the tanks start rolling towards somewhere other than the existing front of the "breakaway republics", or bombing outside those regions start. If the Russians make a play for Kharkiv or Kyiv, it's on.

It's clear that the sword is poised, and I can't recall a situation where eleventh-hour diplomacy resulted in a country at this level of readiness backing off. If all Putin is looking for is something he can sell as a 'W', he can seize Luhansk and Donetsk, claim that the rest of the forces were to contain a possible Ukranian response elsewhere, and walk away.

I don't think that's likely. The disposition of forces pretty much screams out that he's going to make a play for Kharkiv and Kyiv, though they could just be there to force Ukraine to divide its military rather than respond in strength to the eastern incursion.

It's not clear to me whether the assets in Crimea are just there to hold the line, or to cut off resupply lines to Luhansk and Donetsk and assist in mopping up everything east of the Dnieper. It doesn't look like enough to make a play for Odessa. I think he's staying east of the Dnieper in the short run.
Tanks everywhere man. All Ukrainian air bases and air defence sites hit. Major amphibious assault on Mariupol underway. Russian armour now less than 10K from Kharkiv
 
You need an element of approval, there is a history of people overthrowing their leaders there afterall.

If he continues to suppress opposition and quality of life appears to drop without the unifying/distraction act of something like a war then things could get ugly for him. Now he can say he pulled the west's trousers down and expanded the empire etc.
He has enough internal domestic aproval to carry out this action. Probably enough to go for the Baltics as well.
 
Nicola Sturgeon has just been woken up and asked if she still wants to get rid of Trident..
She’s having a coffee and a ciggie before giving her answer.

Ukraine had the third biggest arsenal of nuclear weapons and delivery systems in the world. Within a decade of giving them up, loses Crimea and now has a full invasion going on…….
 
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