peteblue
Welcome back Wayne
Ignore a lot of the nonsense he mentioned, but the point that only a reasonably small percentage of their arsenal being operational isn't a bad one.
I remember @john jako mentioned something similar much earlier on. Nuclear weapons degrade over time unless maintained and that costs - a lot.
Maintaining our Vanguard class submarines and SLBMs is between 3-4.5% of our annual defence budget, so you're talking a min. £1.2-1.9bn per annum.
That's for four submarines, 200ish warheads on 60ish SLBMS - what would that work out per warhead as a conservative figure? It's far from cheap.
When you look at the US spending on their nuclear arsenal including ICBMs, I was told it comes to about £10m per weapon, maybe @Dylan will know more.
If you then consider the size of the Russian economy and their defence spending versus their arsenal number, can we expect they've maintained the pile?
So yes, they do have enough weapons to cause such mass destruction, but the point is that they are likely significantly outnumbered in reliable weapons.
You can then factor in the cost of the design and building of new missiles, submarines and missiles, which again are to be costly to maintain over the life.
That alone will be something the Russians will be aware of, and perhaps says a lot about the readiness and capability of the Russian armed forces.
You can bully smaller people, and Russia has always done it. You cannot bully people much more powerful than you. You can try, but ultimately you will just disappear…and Russia knows this….