Current Affairs Ukraine

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Ukraine are routing the Russians, with over 20,000 Russian troops killed, twice that number injured as well as morale very low and soldiers turning on each other as well as on their commanders. Donetsk and Lugansk are on the verge of being retaken and the Russians will have to retreat just like they've retreated from Kiev

The supply of more lethal weapons to Ukraine suggests to me that NATO expect Ukraine to retake Crimea. This could be accomplished with more advanced weaponry. I believe NATO commanders are very confident that the battle to retake Crimea will soon commence once the Russians are fully defeated in the east
 
Ukraine are routing the Russians, with over 20,000 Russian troops killed, twice that number injured as well as morale very low and soldiers turning on each other as well as on their commanders. Donetsk and Lugansk are on the verge of being retaken and the Russians will have to retreat just like they've retreated from Kiev

The supply of more lethal weapons to Ukraine suggests to me that NATO expect Ukraine to retake Crimea. This could be accomplished with more advanced weaponry. I believe NATO commanders are very confident that the battle to retake Crimea will soon commence once the Russians are fully defeated in the east
bagdad-bob.jpg
 
Yeah but they didnt have satellites back then!
Do the Russians now because it doesn't appear as if they're using them too effectively? In all seriousness, their intelligence has been inept or used ineptly.

Ukraine's key concern will now be the redeployment of troops to the east and how this will impact militarily and politically if Russia become more savvy.

If Russia is redeploying rather than de-escalating, do they move assets east to match the new threat and leave the west, with Kyiv and Lviv etc, exposed?

A smaller target area closer to their land means Russian can go strength in numbers and can better use its air assets, which can loiter in Russian airspace.

Politically, will the west be as open to support if Russia focuses purely on the south, with Donesk, Luhansk and the land corridor, and doesn't cross any further?

These could easily be staging points for further intrusions and attacks in the future. Sadly, I think as time goes by the west will seek to make a compromise.

Ukraine may not want this, but with such reliance on support from NATO et al. they may not have other viable options if the support becomes constrained.

@Robert Heenan, in terms of retaking Crimea - no chance. Nil. Zero.
 
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