Current Affairs Ukraine

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I know obviously the protesting/show of solidarity is a good thing.. but in all honesty, how does it help Ukraine?
Good question and in the short-term perhaps not much apart from strengthening political resolve to support Ukraine in many ways.

In the long-term, you would hope that there's some in the Kremlin who are looking at the reaction and considering what their stance should be.
 
If you are going to look at things objectively then you might want to consider not just this poor performance of the Russian forces but to also consider the last Russian incursion against another state i.e. Georgia.

What we are witnessing are the same kinds of gaps in command planning and application, communication et al. On balance the western militaries will now be of a mind that the dysfunctionality of the Russian military would not pose a great threat but that this trend of poor performance would see them fall back onto needing to use WOMD.

This is a warts and all analysis of the same types of failures in Georgia that we are seeing again in Ukraine. @LinekersLegs you'll also spot that they were shooting their own jets down in Georgia so that might be a factor in not wanting to risk the same in Georgia.

Bolded should say Ukraine, obviously.

The post above was clearly infected by Russia's incompetence.
 
Paypal has turned them off now.

Singapore will prohibit crypto tokens being used at their regulated CEX's.
They've amassed reserves, which they may struggle to get hold of, and can't keep the stock exchanged closed inevitably. At some point, it'll all get nasty.

The longer Ukraine hold out, the more damage there'll be on the Russian state.
 
This one here, has all the hallmarks of a particular poster-type. I hope I'm wrong



Look Brendan, I'll put it to you as simply as I can before I put you on ignore (the real ignore, not Kev the Rat ignore). I don't think swinging in here with laughing emojis and posts that generally amount to "haha, Russia are going to win you msm-swilling idiots" are the truth bombs you think they are and make you look a bit foolish and uneducated.

Yeah, Russia will probably win if it keeps going like this, but that outcome doesn't make you some oracle of truth and the situation has a lot more parts and nuance than that. Just dial it back a little, and when you've done that, dial it back some more. Have a good day
+1 for this
 
A dose of vengeance from the Advisor to the Head of the Ukrainian President's Office today.

Oleksiy Arestovych
- In Gostomel, the special forces of the GUR and the 3 regiment of the Soviet Union, together with the local TRO, polished Russian special forces and paratroopers for two days in a row.
I think many have seen the footage of the beaten technique with bodies of temporary occupiers attached to them.
Nikolaev residents turned off the Kulbakino airport and ripped off the column trying to bypass the city in the morning. In addition, he actively participates (and wins! ) patrol police Nikolayev. )
In the Victory of Brovarsky district, 15 separate motor rifle brigades from Samara were covered with air.
By the way, there on the Nizhyn direction three days ago, the Russian command began to form a huge operational association to attack Brovary - Borispol.
Now there is no such union.
Partly it went to Kharkiv, where the occupiers troops suffered huge losses, partly confused in the local buerakas, partly destroyed.
In Kherson there are at least Russian troops. The connection has been restored. A show with " ... grateful bastards" failed.
Zaporozhye nuclear power plant is operating normally.
And the Russian military is confused (and partially destroyed) in the brewery swamps, because the locals are fighting this most total war - blocking forest roads, slowly, or making it impossible for a few hours to move the enemy's columns.
And there our artillery and aviation are already catching up.
We are holding the sky (a few Russian planes have been crashed today), our aircraft is working.
Covering the team points of the enemy - today even the Russian press recognized the death of two senior commanders - including the commander of the 810 Navy Navy Navy brigade, who helped escape Yanukovych and captured Crimea.
As they say, the death of the regiment is a tragedy, the death of a colonel is a failure.
To the number of these colonies and generals, you can boldly add a zero and multiply by two. And that's three - judging by the number of team points we have destroyed.
Yes, it's hard - Kharkov, Mariupol, Akhtyrka.
But over the surrounded and half-circulated opponent Chernigov, Russian planes are shot down, they go into fierce raids and collect prisoners under the Sumy, as a huge meat grinder redraws the enemy half-circumcised Kharkov region.
What is surprising and requires clarification?
For many Ukrainians, what we have not yet lost is heroic, but a miracle.
Some people are still in the mood:
- our successes are temporary. We need to take the win and negotiate with Putin. ))
Yeah no, right.
It was all redefined on the very first day. All this is calculated and thought out by military leadership and brilliantly implemented by the army.
I know the opinion of many military worlds.
They are shocked - from the level that the Ukrainian army and its leadership demonstrates.
Today it was officially recognized by the Ministry of Defense of the United States, Britain, the head of NATO.
Did you know that the first strike of the enemy's winged missiles in many places was in the layout?.. )
Both fire bags, and endless kill boxes, in which the troops of the enemy are drawn by our military - this is all sober and cold-blooded calculation, which with the methodology of a rotary excavator, realizes the leadership and personal composition of our army.
We were given 48 hours - the best military in the world.
For the tenth day, the Ukrainian aviation, which was given three hours, spreads the enemy from the sky.
Our successes are by example. Specially designed and clearly implemented causative-effectual connections.
A combination of the highest level of armed forces and people's resistance and the Russian military vehicle will be overturned here.
The Russian army is not strong. She is just a long one. )
Eight out of ten Putin's armies are here.
This is where we will bury them.
This will take time.
But it won't be an accidental success.
This is the result of our joint work with you. All of us.
And exactly because of this systemic work, because we think with our heads and work with our hands, the enemy loses.
Even now, when in the Kremlin there is still time to blow up and brag, it openly admits that it is impossible and - not going to occupy Ukraine.
We will chase them back.
All our homes and cities should come back to us.
This is our doomsday war.
This is our Homeland, throwing away the seven-year-old edges of the Horde, an ugly historical distortion of the ancient idea of Russia.
Hundreds of years of heavy curse.
The price will not be easy.
But victory will change everything. All the fate of Europe and the world.
Therefore, the pattern of our victory is also historical.
Behind us - the truth of the Kiev princes of Ancient Russia.
Svyatoslav, Vladimir, Bogdan are behind us.
We have already defeated the Cool ones, this time the elite Moscow parts were destroyed under them.
14 brigades (former 51, shot by Bezler and in Ilovaisk) are today merging into the center of the military orders of the Russian troops - rubbing, rubbing, stabbing, from the shoulder.
We are going to replay all this morale that has been imposed on us for centuries.
Everything is patterned. Everything is not a coincidence. Let's protect our Nenka - repeatedly wounded, deceived, forgotten, our Mother.
Protect the souls of the people.
For an ancestor. For the dome of Sofia. For the spin over the Dnieper. For the sake of children. For grandchildren and great-grandchildren, who are going to the rides.
We are blessed to be a generation that will correct a thousand years of injustice.
Which will open the doors to a new world.
Personally, I am deeply pleased. )
Let's put an end to the history of Moscow.
Let's lift up the true Ukraine.
 
I was of a mind that as this badly thought out exercise was in many respects testing the water that the Russians might not have wanted to risk their recently updated air force i.e. not knowing the capability of Ukraine to defend itself (air force, surface to air missiles and general kit supplied by the west).

I did hear an analyst talking about the Russian perceived risk of its fighters chasing Ukrainian jest and crossing into NATO space and the threat that this would bring in opening the door to NATO. I can't find the talk but this article hints at the same.

That second explanation actually makes a LOT of sense. I hadn't even realised that this was a possibility but once you think about it, it's a very compelling argument.

Hypothetical scenario: Russian bombers up over Kiev with fighter escort. UKR interceptors sortie to repel. Fighter escort too strong, UKR interceptors bug out west towards Romania. Fighter escort elements give pursuit, enter Romanian airspace at high speed firing on UKR interceptors, only to find NATO jets on CAP diverted to intercept them. That would be horrific, in terms of escalation - would NATO assets in NATO airspace stand by and watch UKR aircraft get shot down over Romania by Russian aircraft? Would they intervene to prevent it? Neither option is palatable.
 
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