Current Affairs Ukraine

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Comrade Detective said:
Comrades, this bitter conflict rends my soul asunder. To see former brothers in arms, bound once by sacred socialist oaths, now reduced to enemies—it is a torment no heart should bear. Is this not the cruel jest of fate, the bitter fruit of pride and blindness? The threads of brotherhood, so painstakingly woven, now lie tangled and torn, trampled beneath the boot of senseless strife.

Shame on Putin, shame on him!
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@Wizard absolutely nailed you with Russell Brand CPT I'm afraid.

No coming back from that now Comrade Multi.
 
Eidean said:
Terrifying numbers.

Regardless of that modernisation that their military went through, with plenty of very good changes, they really are years behind in terms of Command & Control

Stuck in the 40s.
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Their 'modernised' equipment has either been shown to not be what it was thought to be (a common issue with the west looking east) or needlessly thrown away.

It's important to look at the figures with a degree of scepticism - they will be inflated, consciously or inadvertently - but even 10% would be a huge expense.

If we're talking about the 40-70% bracket of accuracy, they are not going to be able to replace their losses, and the cost to do so is immense.

 
PhilM said:
Their 'modernised' equipment has either been shown to not be what it was thought to be (a common issue with the west looking east) or needlessly thrown away.

It's important to look at the figures with a degree of scepticism - they will be inflated, consciously or inadvertently - but even 10% would be a huge expense.

If we're talking about the 40-70% bracket of accuracy, they are not going to be able to replace their losses, and the cost to do so is immense.

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I was referring mainly to the doctrine changes in 2014, their C4ISR has improved massively & they’ve plenty of good kit in that regard. Their electronic warfare capabilities are very, very good aswell.

They’ll always have a problem with their low-level Command & Control though, they set conditions and don’t allow any junior commanders to be flexible at all.
 
ISW Key Takeaways:

  • Russian forces gained 4,168 square kilometers, largely comprised of fields and small settlements in Ukraine and Kursk Oblast, at a reported cost of over 420,000 casualties in 2024.
  • The Russian military command largely prioritized efforts to seize the remainder of Donetsk Oblast and establish a buffer zone in northern Kharkiv Oblast in 2024 but failed to accomplish these goals.
  • Russian forces have seized four mid-sized settlements - Avdiivka, Selydove, Vuhledar, and Kurakhove - in all of 2024, the largest of which had a pre-war population of just over 31,000 people.
  • Russian forces would require just over two years to seize the remainder of Donetsk Oblast at their 2024 rates of advance, assuming that all their advances were confined to Donetsk, that they can seize large urban areas as easily as small villages and fields, and that the Ukrainians do not conduct any significant counterattacks in Donetsk.
  • Ukrainian forces have yet to stop Russian forces from advancing in their priority sectors, however, and Western aid remains critical to Ukraine's ability to stabilize the frontline in 2025.
  • Russian President Vladimir Putin officially declared 2025 the "Year of the Defender of the Fatherland" during his New Years' address on December 31 - signaling the Kremlin's continued efforts to militarize Russian society and maintain regime stability by appeasing the growing Russian veteran community.
  • Ukrainian naval drones reportedly downed a Russian Mi-8 helicopter near occupied Cape Tarkhankut, Crimea, reportedly marking the first time that a naval drone has shot down an air target.
  • Ukrainian forces struck the Yarsevskaya oil depot in Smolensk Oblast and a building used by the Russian military in Lgov, Kursk Oblast on December 30 and 31.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Kreminna and in Kursk Oblast, and Russian forces recently advanced near Kreminna, Siversk, Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk, and Kurakhove.
  • The Russian government will deprive prisoners who volunteer to fight in Ukraine of the one-time enlistment bonus starting January 1, 2025, marking another instance of Russia trying to cut the mounting short- and long-term costs of war.

Institute for the Study of War

Russian forces gained 4,168 square kilometers, largely comprised of fields and small settlements in Ukraine and Kursk Oblast, at a reported cost of over 420,000 casualties in 2024. Russian advances have slowed in December 2024, however. The Russian
www.understandingwar.org www.understandingwar.org
 
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