Current Affairs Ukraine

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Marinka in Donetsk has fallen to the Russians as the Ukrainians have been told to pull back westward by Zelensky. Looks like Russia have their eyes on Novomykhailivka next and securing the rest of the oblast.

As I understand it there's nothing much the Ukrainians can do about the Russian push until they sort out recruitment. They've lost that many on the battlefield, to waves of fighting age men leaving Ukraine and because of the general unwillingness to bend to the draconian conscription methods of Kyiv. The announcement of a new recruitment drive for 2024 last week fits into this narrative.
 

Estonian prime minister: Pro-Ukraine coalition remains strong, Russia is suffering 'war fatigue'​

Prime Minister of Estonia Kaja Kallas.


Prime Minister of Estonia Kaja Kallas.

Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas on Friday insisted that Western support is not fraying amid a recent rise in popularity for right-wing populist figures across Europe.

"There is a lot of talk about war fatigue, but we also have to understand that there is war fatigue on Russia's side, and if you think about the combined defense budgets of the Ramstein coalition that is behind Ukraine, they are 13 times bigger than that of Russia's heavily inflated one, so there is no question who is stronger here," she told CNBC at the COP28 climate conference in Dubai.

"We sometimes underestimate our own strength and power. We have to be firm, we have to stick to the lines."
The Ramstein coalition, also known as the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, is an alliance of 54 nations, including all 31 NATO members and 23 non-NATO states, that are coordinating support for Ukraine's defense against Russia's invasion.

www.cnbc.com
She's got zero credibility since her husband was exposed doing business with the Russians while she was castigating all and sundry (i.e., the ordinary citizens of foreign countries) for trying to heat their homes with Russian energy. Even her own president thinks she's a massive hypocrite.

There's been way too much of this hypocritical, self-serving, holier-than-thou piety from some in that part of Europe. And anyway, if Trump wins it's game over - whatever the strength of NATO. 2024 should be all about supporting Ukraine as much as we can so that they are in some kind of defensible negotiating position come the day they inevitably get thrown under the bus by the Americans. Europeans seem to be sleepwalking into this disaster.
 
Putin signed a decree to increase the Russian army by 170,000 people.And this took place after Dmitry Medvedev reported that 440,000 Russians had signed military contracts in 2023.

If we take the average number of killed and seriously wounded to be about 15,000 per month (the number may reach 30,000 in the last months due to the heaviest and, from the point of view of the war, the stupidest storming of Avdiivka), it is not difficult to calculate:-

To replenish the personnel after death or severe wounding it is necessary to recruit 160-200 thousand extra Russians;

- Putin's additional recruitment of 170,000 should also be added here.

- Based on the current situation at the front, the losses won't certainly be lower, therefore, to replenish the reserves it will be necessary to recruit at least 70-80 thousand people.

- In total, according to the most modest calculations, at least 400,000 people will be mobilized in 2024 (i.e. approximately the same number as in 2023).

Whether mobilization will be announced or they will just grab people on the street is of no importance.

Another 400,000 men will be led to their deaths next year for the sake of another Avdiivka.

 

Till Death Do Us Part: Sharp Spike In Marriages As Russian Men Are Mobilized For Ukraine War​

November 01, 2022 16:45 GMT

Since the Kremlin announced the mobilization less than six weeks ago, virtually every region across the country has seen a spike in marriages.

Since the Kremlin announced the mobilization less than six weeks ago, virtually every region across the country has seen a spike in marriages.

On October 22, Yelena Mikhailova and her longtime partner, Maksim, were married at the civil records office (ZAGS) in Pytalovo, a town in the Pskov region on Russia's border with Latvia. The hastily arranged wedding came just days after Maksim was called up to fight in Russia's unprovoked war against Ukraine in a mobilization decreed by President Vladimir Putin on September 21.
"I never thought everything would happen so quickly," Mikhailova said. "We weren't prepared for a wedding, but events pushed us to get married.... We didn't exchange rings because we didn't have the money to buy them. We decided we'd get them later when he comes back and, hopefully, they pay him at least some of the money he's been promised."
"We don't have much income," she continued. "Maksim doesn't really have work but he gets by on odd jobs. Lately he's been working as a mechanic. Now the main thing is to gather the things my husband needs. I bought him some warm socks and clothes so that he'd have them when they send him over there."
Mikhailova's story is far from unique. Since Putin announced the mobilization less than six weeks ago, virtually every region across the country has seen a spike in marriages. In most regions, mobilized soldiers are allowed to marry the same day that they submit their paperwork with their partners. Some regions have arranged buses to get soldiers and their fiancees from mustering bases to the nearest marriage registration office, while others have arranged temporary wedding halls at the bases themselves.
Mikhailova's reason for getting married to Maksim, with whom she has lived for 19 years and raised two children, is also typical. "Mobilization is a bit frightening," she told RFE/RL's North.Realities. "Anything could happen to him. In any case, legally married wives have more rights, so we decided to formalize our relationship."



'Just For All This To Be Over'

In September, 34 couples were married in the town of Kostomuksha in the northwestern Karelia region. One of them was Anna Vasilyeva and her mobilized husband, Aleksei. "When mobilization was announced, I still wasn't sure that I loved him," Vasilyeva told RFE/RL. "We were just dating and getting to know each other. But when his notification came, we were both struck suddenly, and we understood that we loved one another."

"I went to his base in Tver," she continued. "They gave him leave from his unit and we went to the central ZAGS, showed them his notice, and were married. The line was very long, and we stood for a long time. It was stuffy and uncomfortable."

In all, the 75 regions that reported marriage data to Mediazona carried out 31,000 weddings of mobilized soldiers in the four weeks after Putin's September 21 announcement.

In all, the 75 regions that reported marriage data to Mediazona carried out 31,000 weddings of mobilized soldiers in the four weeks after Putin's September 21 announcement.
After the wedding, over beer and sausages, Vasilyeva says she tried to persuade her husband not to go to war. "I told him to go to Georgia or to hide somewhere like other men from Karelia had done," she said. "But he refused. He and I have very different views on life and what is going on. His unit has been seriously 'brainwashed' by experienced instructors from the Vagner [private military] company."

"When we parted, I told him to remain human no matter what happens," she added. "Not to torture anyone if a Ukrainian surrenders to him. I sent him off, but I don't believe he will come back, although I tell him all the time on the phone that I am waiting for him and he must come home. But I am not confident he will remain the same good, sweet boy that I have known so long."

Back in Pytalovo, near the Latvian border, Yelena Mikhailova is alone with her two sons. "Who is going to feed us?" she asked. "He is gone. We have two sons -- who is going to raise them? And I'm also afraid for our eldest, who is 17. I didn't need a wedding. I don't need anything. Just for all this to be over."

"We want to live like we lived before," she said.

Written by Robert Coalson based on reporting by RFE/RL's North.Realities​

 

Ukraine is developing plans to allow spectators to attend sports stadiums​

Ukraine’s sports ministry has said it is developing a system that will allow fans to attend stadiums and watch games which have been off limits to the public since Russia launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022.

The country’s government has tasked the sports ministry, the internal affairs ministry, security agencies and regional military administrations with developing an “algorithm” to make sports events accessible and as safe as possible, reports The Kyiv Independent.

No timeline has been announced for when spectators could be let back in to stadiums, but the eventual return will help stadiums and clubs to be “financially viable again”, said Matvii Bidnyi, Ukraine’s sports minister. However, he added that the “the safety of spectators and athletes” remains the priority
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I understand the need for hope and morale boosting, but that's just a daft plan. Not when there's missile attacks still hitting western Ukraine.
 
Marinka in Donetsk has fallen to the Russians as the Ukrainians have been told to pull back westward by Zelensky. Looks like Russia have their eyes on Novomykhailivka next and securing the rest of the oblast.

As I understand it there's nothing much the Ukrainians can do about the Russian push until they sort out recruitment. They've lost that many on the battlefield, to waves of fighting age men leaving Ukraine and because of the general unwillingness to bend to the draconian conscription methods of Kyiv. The announcement of a new recruitment drive for 2024 last week fits into this narrative.
To the victor, go the spoils.

GAWmaX2WcAATpT2


Thats what winning looks like Comrade.
 
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