Current Affairs The General Election
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davek
Player Valuation: £150m
Michael 'the Beak' Gove was his nickname at The Times.
Everything that's wrong with modern politics. Outright lies used as headlines and soundbites when those putting them forward know they're full of crap. What has happened to accountability?
There's something remarkable happening in the polls, and it seems to be a universal trend.
Two weeks ago there was a high number of Labour to Tory voters who told pollsters that they're solid in their support. Over the last week or so, we're seeing these soften a bit. If you look at the YouGov model, many of the 67 seats that are up for grabs only require a 2.6% swing from the Tories to Labour to see the seat change hands.
The change in our election strategy seems to indicate that our vote elsewhere has solidified to the point in which the party feels able to change things up.
This isn't over.
Far from it.
Two weeks ago there was a high number of Labour to Tory voters who told pollsters that they're solid in their support. Over the last week or so, we're seeing these soften a bit. If you look at the YouGov model, many of the 67 seats that are up for grabs only require a 2.6% swing from the Tories to Labour to see the seat change hands.
The change in our election strategy seems to indicate that our vote elsewhere has solidified to the point in which the party feels able to change things up.
This isn't over.
Far from it.
OnlyBlueWillDo
Player Valuation: £35m
Caroline Lucas the greens leader on Question Time telling the Tory next to her to stop lying about Labour bankrupting the country when it was a global finanical crisis born in the USA that caused us to bail out the banks.
Shame Labour MP's haven't defended themselves the same over the last 9 years, then maybe the public would not have been brainwashed into believing the Tory lies.
Shame Labour MP's haven't defended themselves the same over the last 9 years, then maybe the public would not have been brainwashed into believing the Tory lies.
A report from today's Times. To me, this is the type of thing Labour should be focusing on - particularly in their Leave areas in the North.Let them know what 10 years of Tory rule have brought about for them - a worse life than those in Romania and Turkey. These are damning statistics, and should be pushed hard.
Britain’s regional divides are worse than in any other wealthy country, with death rates in parts of the north of England worse than areas of Turkey and Romania, a study has found.
The gap between rich and poor areas on health, jobs and income is larger than in most comparable countries, according to the think tank IPPR North. Disposable income in Kensington, west London, is £48,000 higher per person than in Blackburn, its report showed.
Whitehall’s dominance means that deprived regions have been able to do little to overcome this divide and kickstart their economies, the think tank argues. In Britain, 95p in every pound paid in tax is taken centrally, compared with 69p in the pound in Germany.
Luke Raikes, author of the report, said: “It is no surprise that people across the country feel so disempowered. Both political and economic power are hoarded by a handful of people in London and the southeast and this has damaged all parts of the country, from Newcastle to Newham. Low investment holds back regions like the north, Midlands and southwest, while centralisation has let London’s housing crisis drive up poverty in the capital.”
Devolution of economic decision-making would allow regional leaders to tackle these problems, he argued.
The study found that government spending on areas such as transport and research and development was £541 per person lower in the north than in London. Despite the northern powerhouse project, poverty had risen and “the north has been subject to the whims of central government” with an eye on elections.
The report added: “In reality the government has yet to give much new money or real power to the north. Even taken together, their funding schemes are a drop in the ocean compared to the austerity the north has endured for the last decade.”
Regional health inequality is worse in Britain than in almost any other rich country and annual death rates in places such as Blackpool, Manchester, Hull, Blackburn and Liverpool are higher than in parts of eastern Europe. For example, there are 10.3 deaths per 1,000 people a year in Blackpool compared with 9.6 in Bratislava, Slovakia and 8.2 in Cracow, Poland.
Britain is less equal in terms of productivity than other western European countries such as Spain, Italy, France and Germany, as well as Japan. Countries such as Poland, Romania and South Korea are more unequal.
Income inequality is far higher in Britain than all other countries studied bar Israel but it does better on employment rates than countries such as Germany. However, on life satisfaction and murder rates, Britain is more equal than other countries.
Analysis
The north-south divide is not a new theme but it is a deadly one. A slew of studies in recent years have found the rich live almost ten years longer than the poor, and almost two decades longer in good health. The gap has widened as life expectancy gains slow, with indications that the lives of people in poor areas are getting shorter. The Tories have been able to shrug this off in the past but Boris Johnson cannot. As well as money for the NHS, Mr Johnson has promised to “do devolution properly”. Whether that will be enough to revive deprived northern areas will be crucial for them and him.
Britain’s regional divides are worse than in any other wealthy country, with death rates in parts of the north of England worse than areas of Turkey and Romania, a study has found.
The gap between rich and poor areas on health, jobs and income is larger than in most comparable countries, according to the think tank IPPR North. Disposable income in Kensington, west London, is £48,000 higher per person than in Blackburn, its report showed.
Whitehall’s dominance means that deprived regions have been able to do little to overcome this divide and kickstart their economies, the think tank argues. In Britain, 95p in every pound paid in tax is taken centrally, compared with 69p in the pound in Germany.
Luke Raikes, author of the report, said: “It is no surprise that people across the country feel so disempowered. Both political and economic power are hoarded by a handful of people in London and the southeast and this has damaged all parts of the country, from Newcastle to Newham. Low investment holds back regions like the north, Midlands and southwest, while centralisation has let London’s housing crisis drive up poverty in the capital.”
Devolution of economic decision-making would allow regional leaders to tackle these problems, he argued.
The study found that government spending on areas such as transport and research and development was £541 per person lower in the north than in London. Despite the northern powerhouse project, poverty had risen and “the north has been subject to the whims of central government” with an eye on elections.
The report added: “In reality the government has yet to give much new money or real power to the north. Even taken together, their funding schemes are a drop in the ocean compared to the austerity the north has endured for the last decade.”
Regional health inequality is worse in Britain than in almost any other rich country and annual death rates in places such as Blackpool, Manchester, Hull, Blackburn and Liverpool are higher than in parts of eastern Europe. For example, there are 10.3 deaths per 1,000 people a year in Blackpool compared with 9.6 in Bratislava, Slovakia and 8.2 in Cracow, Poland.
Britain is less equal in terms of productivity than other western European countries such as Spain, Italy, France and Germany, as well as Japan. Countries such as Poland, Romania and South Korea are more unequal.
Income inequality is far higher in Britain than all other countries studied bar Israel but it does better on employment rates than countries such as Germany. However, on life satisfaction and murder rates, Britain is more equal than other countries.
Analysis
The north-south divide is not a new theme but it is a deadly one. A slew of studies in recent years have found the rich live almost ten years longer than the poor, and almost two decades longer in good health. The gap has widened as life expectancy gains slow, with indications that the lives of people in poor areas are getting shorter. The Tories have been able to shrug this off in the past but Boris Johnson cannot. As well as money for the NHS, Mr Johnson has promised to “do devolution properly”. Whether that will be enough to revive deprived northern areas will be crucial for them and him.
orly
Please check with me for Blammo criteria
I'd love to see Corbyn a few days before the election borrow from this. Paraphrase it and ask these questions of the British public.
bluebark
Player Valuation: £500k
I think the polls will drift closer to hung parliament, the closer we get to the day if it isn’t within striking distance now. I’m going to feel hollow when we get crushed aren’t I?
NilSatisOptimum
Player Valuation: £70m
Always maintained this, the strategy of the Conservative are using is not the actions of confidence, it's a government fighting tooth and nail desperately hanging on, I suppose like a trapped rat!
They have behaved like absolute sewer rats this entire campaign. Never seen anything like it. That anyone could still vote for them is entirely beyond me.
...that isn’t reflected with the bookies, the Conservatives odds are 1/20.
evilwebby
Player Valuation: £50m
1/20 to win the most seats, about 4/11 to win a majority.
YouGov have published their election forecast:
Con: 359
Lab: 211
(majority 68)
YouGov UK: Data Analytics & Market Research Services
Explore YouGov's market research and data analytics services for valuable insights. Make informed business decisions with our consumer analysis & intelligence.
yougov.co.uk
Worth paying attention to Yougov.. they are pretty sharp and got it dead right last time.
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evilwebby
Player Valuation: £50m
Entirely predictably, as the campaign has progressed we have seen the 2 main parties leech support from the minority parties; the LDs, BP, Greens etc have all taken a drubbing. Tory support is pretty hardened; they will not poll below about 41-42%. Lab have stolen a lot of support from the LDs, but that is the easy wins accounted for, and gaining further support will be harder from here.
OnlyBlueWillDo
Player Valuation: £35m
Swerving Andrew Neil isn't he, what an absolute craphouse he is, do we really want a bloke running the country who can't face a 30min interview with a journalist.
Same with Javid, he's swerved a debate with McDonnell, last two elections now not one current Chancellor wants to debate with McDonnell.
The two most powerful and important positions in government should be scrutinised on TV for the public to see, no backbone in the Tory leadership whatsoever.
Same with Javid, he's swerved a debate with McDonnell, last two elections now not one current Chancellor wants to debate with McDonnell.
The two most powerful and important positions in government should be scrutinised on TV for the public to see, no backbone in the Tory leadership whatsoever.
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