Current Affairs The General Election

Voting Intentions

  • Labour

    Votes: 209 61.1%
  • Tories

    Votes: 30 8.8%
  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 20 5.8%
  • Brexit Gubbins

    Votes: 8 2.3%
  • Greens

    Votes: 8 2.3%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 1 0.3%
  • Change UK, if that's their current moniker

    Votes: 1 0.3%
  • SNP

    Votes: 4 1.2%
  • DUP

    Votes: 3 0.9%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 9 2.6%
  • Alliance

    Votes: 4 1.2%
  • SDLP

    Votes: 2 0.6%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 4 1.2%
  • Some fringe party with a catchy name

    Votes: 7 2.0%
  • A plague on all your houses

    Votes: 32 9.4%

  • Total voters
    342
  • Poll closed .
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Is that how they do it - residential calls during the week?

I think it still is, for the most part. Yougov and some others try to be more online, though that poses challenges of its own. They know they have a problem, but they don't really what to do about it just yet.

There was a really thought-provoking article a while back on how polling has shaped and to some extent distorted electoral politics. Not a short read, admittedly, but very worthwhile: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/11/16/politics-and-the-new-machine
 
I think it still is, for the most part. Yougov and some others try to be more online, though that poses challenges of its own. They know they have a problem, but they don't really what to do about it just yet.

There was a really thought-provoking article a while back on how polling has shaped and to some extent distorted electoral politics. Not a short read, admittedly, but very worthwhile: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/11/16/politics-and-the-new-machine
Cheers
 
I live in one of the largest Tory majorities in the country, which also voted Leave. It was LibDem from 97-2015. Their vote evaporated when the sitting MP at the time retired. They're about level with Labour now.

Supposed to be a secret ballot, but Labour, FWIW.
 
I'd like the current opposing parties to continue their temporary alliance and get the electoral laws tightened up first.
 
Bonfire night would be an appropriate day to hold the general election.


TBH, I think, regardless of the date called, Farage's lot will get well into double digits. There are plenty of people angry about wanting a clean break with the EU and wont:

A/ see the Tory's as having a strong enough message
B/ see Johnson and his gang as anyone they can relate to and vote for (or expect to deliver on the spending bribes they're now promising)

I'm more and more convinced the Tory's will be almost neck and neck with the Brexit Party in terms of % of the vote this time around. That EU election performance in the summer isn't going to be an aberration.
 
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