Current Affairs The 2020 United States Presidential Election

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I think the realisation is setting in, that it's beyond the realms of possibilities he can win.

Clinton v Trump was a 70-30. And some of the 70 for Clinton was based upon EC advantage, some incumbence bounce etc. Polls were quite volatile and close. Thats not the case now. It's increasingly an 85-15 and by election day Biden will be 90+ certainty to win.

This is like last seasons Everton. We might be up 3-0 at half time, but still know it’s quite possible to lose 3-4
 
Harris will find it difficult to stop criticizing Trump and start criticizing Pence, which is an index of how noisome Trump is because Pence, whose political career would be long dead if Trump hadn't required him to deliver Evangelicals to him. is no one's idea of a prize (except perhaps among Evangelicals).

Pence will speak in calm, measured tones as if he were a normal VP rather than a man whose public career had been resuscitated to vice-preside over an unprecedented dumpster fire of an administration, but as the minutes pass he'll become increasingly flustered by sharing the stage with a beautiful woman who's not his wife.

Moderator is female as well
 
Probably more relevant this year, since Harris will almost certainly get the big job at some point during Bidens presidency

Yes maybe a bit more. However given how bland Biden is, and how atrocious Trump is, I cant see it shifting many minds either way.

Shes a good debater and far from the liability some predicted, but she will not steamroller pence as Trump was. Hes a steadier operator.

A draw, in the context of the Republican campaign disintegrating is a big win for the Dems though.
 
How do dems go about winning the senate? is that on the cards?

Short version: win 4 Republican seats, minimum. Doug Jones' seat is probably a lost cause and they should comfortably hold the rest, so that's what gets them to 50 (which is enough with a Biden win for control).

There are about 7 that could flip, and the Democrats are odds-on favorites in two with the rest toss-ups.
 
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