Current Affairs The 2020 United States Presidential Election
- Thread starter riddick
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I suspect it's beginning to sink if for the Republicans what the next 4 weeks entails. LIkely quite a heavy defeat, potentially a generational defeat.
If that occurs, Donald Trumps name, ideas and outlook will be completely tarnished, and the method is going to very quickly become who can distance themselves most quickly in order to stake out a new vision for their party.
If would represent as well 3 electoral defeats out of 4, and not winning the popular vote by any substantive margin in in decades.By the time the next election rolls around, it would be nearly 40 years, where they had won 1 election by about 2% of the vote..
So they will need a vast change of direction, and to broaden the parties appeal, away from the shrinking white voter, and towards the the none white section of society. They will need to throw Trump to the wolves to begin to give themselves a chance to do so.
Thing is they thought that after the Access Hollywood tape release and then got the lifeline from Comey and undecided voters in key states broke for Trump. They could well take a gamble that a “October surprise” happens to Biden.
I think the realisation is setting in, that it's beyond the realms of possibilities he can win.
Clinton v Trump was a 70-30. And some of the 70 for Clinton was based upon EC advantage, some incumbence bounce etc. Polls were quite volatile and close. Thats not the case now. It's increasingly an 85-15 and by election day Biden will be 90+ certainty to win.
I know, I know, polls aren't accurate etc.
but rasmusson is a trump favorite.
but rasmusson is a trump favorite.
Of course we don’t know who they are voting for but at least it looks like a lot of people are exercising their right to vote.
BirkenheadBlue
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Look forward to him tweeting out a little graphic of this poll like he normally does.
BirkenheadBlue
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Any predictions for the VP Debate tonight?
(putting aside the fact that it probably shouldn’t be happening)
(putting aside the fact that it probably shouldn’t be happening)
Still don’t think it as much as a lock as that but Biden is in a better position than Clinton
Think Pence will do better than expected as Harris debate performances have been inflated quite a bit over what I personally thought her actual performances warranted.
davek
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He;s leading the team set up to fight Covid19 in the U.S.
If Harris cant annihilate an unmitigated failure like Pence on THE political issue of the day then maybe she shouldn't be the VP nominee?
You almost literally just have to turn up and hold a mirror up to Pence to win this debate.
yup, I agree.
I wasn't totally comfortable with the way she went after Biden in the primaries.
I think she's great at the senate hearing stuff but she might over egg the pudding at a debate.
Pence won't get wound up, he'll remain calm no matter what, it'll be interesting to see what she does with that.
I think she'll win but not as resoundingly as she should.
I partly agree but debating Pence won't be easy. He's a former conservative talkshow host who can make the totally unreasonable sound reasonable.
He obviously won't convince any Democrats but he's after the independents.
Expect a lot of pre covid economy chat and China China China
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