Current Affairs The 2020 United States Presidential Election

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Both systems are massively antiquated, like choosing between being kicked in the shins or punched in the face

Agreed, neither are even close to fit-for-purpose or fair, but since 2010 (when I turned 18) we’ve literally had permanent Tory rule, which is guaranteed to last at least 15 years during which they have systematically ruined the country for all other than the über wealthy.
 
I hear this argument regularly and it's not unreasonable but it's not persuasive. So the GOP campaigns heavily in CA and moves the needle and the Dems campaign heavily in the Deep South or wherever and someone assumes the outcome will be different. There's no real evidence for this. In fact, it's just as plausible the Dem Candidate, say, would campaign in CA or NY (where they don't do so now) to bank even more votes and the GOP candidate would spend time in TX (where they don't go now) to bank more vote here.

We hold elections every 2 years and the GOP loses pretty darn consistently in the odd years (mid-term) and the even years (Presidential elections). It's a structural problem, not a campaign strategy issue.
There’s no real evidence because it’s not the reality of the situation. You can’t know what would or wouldn’t happen under different rules. It’s all conjecture. So learn to play the game as it stands better until if/when the rules do change.

It’s also unreasonable in my opinion to say it would have the exact same outcome if the rules were different.
 
Is it really though? I’ve seen this clip a lot today, but in all honesty, I could have sat down and given essentially that same interview a couple weeks ago. Most people who were paying attention knew exactly what would happen if Biden remove all doubt within the first few hours of election night. Once Trump took Florida, this was almost inevitable.
Yes, but the orthodoxy at that point was that it was a landslide based on the polling. He presented a scenario that was a danger to the outcome in the event it was close. If you said those things at the time you were prescient too!
 
Yes, but the orthodoxy at that point was that it was a landslide based on the polling. He presented a scenario that was a danger to the outcome in the event it was close. If you said those things at the time you were prescient too!
I never thought it would be a runaway. Was hopeful it might not be this much of a nail biter, but I always though this talk of Biden approaching 400 electoral votes was wildly optimistic.
 
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