Current Affairs The 2020 United States Presidential Election

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I think this is called prescient....


Is it really though? I’ve seen this clip a lot today, but in all honesty, I could have sat down and given essentially that same interview a couple weeks ago. Most people who were paying attention knew exactly what would happen if Biden remove all doubt within the first few hours of election night. Once Trump took Florida, this was almost inevitable.
 
Is it really though? I’ve seen this clip a lot today, but in all honesty, I could have sat down and given essentially that same interview a couple weeks ago. Most people who were paying attention knew exactly what would happen if Biden remove all doubt within the first few hours of election night. Once Trump took Florida, this was almost inevitable.
Yeah, it's being retweeted a lot by people who don't really know what they're talking about, but see that it's Bernie and assume that it must be some supernatural act of political soothsaying.
 
Haha good for him that’s what people like him do! There’s plenty of them about! When you don’t agree with them they try to pigeon hole you in to a category like racist fascist etc.... Because they are ‘Do gooders’
 
It’s looking positive TX, but the whole popular vote argument isn’t really valid in my opinion. If that was the game, the whole campaigning strategy would be different. GOP basically writes off California and doesn’t even try because even with a 10% shift, they still lose handily. Dems seemingly do the same with the Deep South states.

To me it’s essentially the equivalent of complaining you lost a match even though you outshot you’re opponent 30-3. The game is to score goals, not take a lot of shots.
I hear this argument regularly and it's not unreasonable but it's not persuasive. So the GOP campaigns heavily in CA and moves the needle and the Dems campaign heavily in the Deep South or wherever and someone assumes the outcome will be different. There's no real evidence for this. In fact, it's just as plausible the Dem Candidate, say, would campaign in CA or NY (where they don't do so now) to bank even more votes and the GOP candidate would spend time in TX (where they don't go now) to bank more vote here.

We hold elections every 2 years and the GOP loses pretty darn consistently in the odd years (mid-term) and the even years (Presidential elections). It's a structural problem, not a campaign strategy issue.
 
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