Current Affairs Israel is an apartheid state

[Wat Tyler]

Those posts though c claiming it are part of a push to maximise the brutality taken out in the coming days by the IDF. That's what shredded wheat head Andrew Neil, for example, wants when he posted lying filth about beheaded people yesterday.

And that rat JK Rowling. They want maximum bloodshed, maximum Palestinian children dead, make no mistake

 

[Spadge Vernacular]

What will Hezbollah do next? Here’s how the Hamas-Israel conflict could engulf the region.​

As Israel prosecutes its offensive against Hamas in Gaza, eyes are nervously turning toward Lebanon, where a series of clashes along the border has raised fears of a second front breaking out, an outcome that could trigger a full regional war. Neither side appears to want an escalation, but the risks are high for a disastrous miscalculation.

So far, the pattern of violence along the Blue Line, the United Nations–delineated boundary that corresponds to Lebanon’s southern border, has been relatively predictable, consisting of shelling and minor incursions. There has been some talk in recent months about the “unification of the fronts,” meaning the closer coordination between anti-Israel groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), along with myriad other Iran-backed groups in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen. Therefore, it would have been difficult for Hezbollah to simply stand back and do nothing as Israel wages its massive offensive against Hamas in Gaza. …

At this initial stage, it appears that Hezbollah wants to keep its actions (whether claimed or unclaimed) below a certain threshold so as not to force Israel into a more powerful retaliation. If Hezbollah were to overshoot, it could trigger an unintended escalatory cycle. It is, however, Iran that has the final say in whether Hezbollah goes to war with Israel. Iran recognizes Hezbollah as its most potent external asset and a key component of its deterrence architecture against a potential attack by Israel or the United States. It is unlikely that Tehran will want to waste Hezbollah in a futile full-scale war with Israel for the sake of supporting Hamas in Gaza.

By the same token, it seems evident that Israel is not seeking the opening of a second front with Lebanon while it focuses on prosecuting its offensive against Hamas. The risk lies in Hezbollah possibly feeling compelled to raise its operational tempo closer to the threshold point as the war in Gaza intensifies and the destruction and loss of life mounts, especially in the event of a major ground incursion by the Israeli military. The closer Hezbollah moves to the threshold level, the higher the chance of miscalculation that leads to a war that neither side currently appears to desire.

Live expertise: Get the latest insight on the Israel-Hamas war

Atlantic Council experts are analyzing the rapidly unfolding events in the Middle East as they happen. Find the latest here.

www.atlanticcouncil.org

Link from the article above

Will Hezbollah's strategy in the Israel-Gaza war draw the escalation to Lebanon?

Ironically, Israeli thinking might be closer to Hezbollah’s than we know

www.thenationalnews.com

 

[Walken]

So unsavoury the way these poor families murdered in this village, have been sidelined, as different sides use the beheading narrative to counter point. Kids are being killed. End of.
There's no stance, that justifies that. Israeli, Palestinian, Hamas or whatever other group, name, race, you want to assign to humans doing this to other humans. Sick.

I agree, it can never be justified.

The problem comes, and its the same with any awful crime, when you try to get to the root cause of the issue to prevent further crimes the direction of the conversation is directed towards punative action instead of genuine solutions. Obviously, there are invested interests at play here, but it is sad the general public are hoodwinked all the same and it seems to be the main line of conversation.

 

[Spadge Vernacular]

Iran’s unconvincing balancing act​

Alex Vatanka
Director of Iran Program and Senior Fellow, Black Sea Program

• Since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack, Tehran has tried to walk a tightrope, attempting to capitalize on the ongoing violence while still claiming it had no responsibility for it.
• Other than payback, Iran likely sees the Hamas attack as a moment to stack the deck in the region, planting doubts in the minds of Israel’s leaders as well as those in Arab states pursuing normalization with Israel.

Iran’s stance since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel has been an unconvincing balancing act. It shows Tehran wants to capitalize on the ongoing violence but still prefers to claim no responsibility for it. The coming weeks and months, as the Israel-Hamas conflict evolves in this new and uncharted phase, will show if Iran can safely walk this tightrope. The reaction from Tehran so far indicates that Iranian officials are both anxious as well as hopeful about the regional repercussions.

On the one hand, the regime in Tehran has celebrated the attack as proof that armed conflict with Israel is the only course of action available to the Palestinians. And yet, on Oct. 10, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei felt it necessary to say that Tehran had not been involved in the attack. As he put it, the claim that “non-Palestinians” were involved is a “miscalculation.”

This Iranian assertion of innocence is aimed at shielding Tehran from international criticism as a key instigator behind the violence. It is, however, a hard sell given that Iran has provided support for Hamas for decades, despite ups and downs in relations. Iran’s financial and military support for Hamas is well known. Hamas officials are proud of receiving cash in suitcases from Tehran; and Iran’s Quds Force, part of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, has been providing missiles to Hamas since at least 2008.

Still, Iran’s denial that it had a direct role in the Hamas attack might be credible. As of today, both the U.S. and the Israelis have found no evidence that Iran masterminded the attack. But no one can deny that the regime in Tehran has been looking to hit at Israel in a spectacular fashion for some time. As Tehran sees it, it has been repeatedly humiliated by Israel — from the U.S.-Israel Stuxnet cyberattacks against its nuclear program in 2010 to the assassinations of a number of Iranian officials in recent years, including Israel’s role in the killing of Quds Force head Qassem Soleimani in 2020.

Other than payback, Iran very likely sees the Hamas attack on Israel as a moment to stack the deck in the region. First, Tehran, Hamas, and other members of the Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” including Lebanese Hezbollah, will use this conflict to plant doubts in the minds of Israeli leaders. Operation al-Aqsa Flood was certainly a monumental intelligence failure for Israel, and Iran and its allies will hope that Israel will — once its ongoing operations in Gaza are over — retrench and reassess its options.

At the same time, Iran is using this round of conflict to create doubt among Arab states that were moving toward normalizing ties with Israel or have already done so. As Khamenei’s top advisor Ali Akbar Velayati said, “Those willing to normalize with Israel should learn a lesson from the latest developments in Palestine.” This is not exactly a subtle warning but suggests what Tehran hopes to see happen, not necessarily where the region will go from here. Much depends on Israeli actions in the coming days and weeks, but it is too premature for Iran to assume this latest violence will vindicate its Axis of Resistance.

Special Briefing: A new Israel-Gaza war and regional reverberations - Middle East Institute

www.mei.edu

 

[Wizard]

Gaza's only power plant has shut down so only generators left for those that have them and can fuel them.

 

[ChesterBlue]

On a bit of a sidenote, but if China don’t do a landgrab on Taiwan now with the US spread so thin, I don’t think they’ll ever invade Taiwan

 

[Spadge Vernacular]

Russian MP Sergey Markov

Friday October 13th is designated by Hamas as the day of a general pogrom against Jews. They call on Muslims around the world to attack Jews everywhere on October 13th.
And there are many Muslims in all European countries! Therefore, on October 13th there will be something like an unofficial state of emergency in all European countries.
In which cities are the largest Jewish pogroms expected? In Paris and Brussels.
Jews feel safe in Russia.

Логика Маркова

Канал зарегистрирован в РКН https://knd.gov.ru/license?id=67642a951e4e233a7155c9b5&registryType=bloggersPermission НАСТОЯЩИЙ МАТЕРИАЛ (ИНФОРМАЦИЯ) ПРОИЗВЕДЕН И (ИЛИ) РАСПРОСТРАНЕН ИНОСТРАННЫМ АГЕНТОМ МАРКОВЫМ СЕРГЕЕМ АЛЕКСАНДРОВИЧЕМ а ЛИБО КАСАЕТСЯ

t.me

 

[Wat Tyler]

Gaza's only power plant has shut down so only generators left for those that have them and can fuel them.

It’s ok mate Starmer has said it’s justified for Israel to do this

 

[Spadge Vernacular]

It is hard to get your head around the people who have suffered great persecution and the holocaust thinking that it is acceptable to hold 2 million people in a camp and bomb and starve them. You could argue that the state of Israel has lost all moral authority to discuss such things.

 

[davek]

And that rat JK Rowling. They want maximum bloodshed, maximum Palestinian children dead, make no mistake

Oh FFS, what's that hateful scumbag been saying...

 

[PhilM]

It is hard to get your head around the people who have suffered great persecution and the holocaust thinking that it is acceptable to hold 2 million people in a camp and bomb and starve them. You could argue that the state of Israel has lost all moral authority to discuss such things.

I mentioned back in December who I perceived that the Israeli state appeared to have morphed from being bullied to the bully.

I've said it before...

While I appreciate the Israeli situation and desire/will to protect itself, they appear to have morphed into the bully victim that becomes a bully itself.

The right to exist does not equate to the right to commit the atrocities that they do. However, they act as the US's/West's balance and check to Arab world.

That's why so many turn a blind to their actions. I ain't an expert on the situation, far from it, but it's difficult to not be aghast at many of the actions of the state.

I was speaking to a friend who works for an Israeli company over here in the UK. He said pretty much his entire workforce has been enlisted or told to prepare to.

Sadly, this is not going to be ending any time soon.

 

[Spadge Vernacular]

I mentioned back in December who I perceived that the Israeli state appeared to have morphed from being bullied to the bully.


I was speaking to a friend who works for an Israeli company over here in the UK. He said pretty much his entire workforce has been enlisted or told to prepare to.

Sadly, this is not going to be ending any time soon.

It's crazy isn't it.

 

[Wat Tyler]

Oh FFS, what's that hateful scumbag been saying...

Parroting Israeli propaganda without qualification. Vile individual

 

[Wat Tyler]

It is hard to get your head around the people who have suffered great persecution and the holocaust thinking that it is acceptable to hold 2 million people in a camp and bomb and starve them. You could argue that the state of Israel has lost all moral authority to discuss such things.

They use the Holocaust, former cabinet members have even stated it, they use what happened by White Europeans to justify killing kids. Horrible.

 

[Wat Tyler]