Current Affairs General US politics (ie, not POTUS related)

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Interesting current “win probability” from “The Economist”. Only 4 genuine swing states. Text of the accompanying article makes clear Biden is probably at his limit but Trump has scope to win back soft supporters.
 

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Alan Whittle said:
Interesting current “win probability” from “The Economist”. Only 4 genuine swing states. Text of the accompanying article makes clear Biden is probably at his limit but Trump has scope to win back soft supporters.
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Trump was way behind in the polls in June 2016. His approval rating hasn't changed in 6 months. There is no where to go but up for him. By sept he'll have all the free airtime from all the cable networks.

until proven wrong ohio is red. Florida, PA, michigan, Wiscy are all tossups. Biden might be able to swing Iowa. Trump could make a play for Nevada (the liberz will close your casinos again!). I don't think Minnesota is exactly safe either (ANTIFA GANGS TAKIN OVER UR CITEAHS).
 
in some good news. Supreme court approves LGBT rights in the workplace. Gorush hates the poor but at least he doesn't give a damn about who you sleep with.

Alito is just a psychopath. Why did we sqaush the nomination of Bush's white house pal whatshername again? I mean sure she was wholly unqualified, but at least she seemed to have a shred of a soul.
 
Rook said:
in some good news. Supreme court approves LGBT rights in the workplace. Gorush hates the poor but at least he doesn't give a damn about who you sleep with.

Alito is just a psychopath. Why did we sqaush the nomination of Bush's white house pal whatshername again? I mean sure she was wholly unqualified, but at least she seemed to have a shred of a soul.
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See left GOT people, Trumps nominations aren’t all that bad huh? No need for over reactions or hypotheticals.
 
Rook said:
Trump was way behind in the polls in June 2016. His approval rating hasn't changed in 6 months. There is no where to go but up for him. By sept he'll have all the free airtime from all the cable networks.

until proven wrong ohio is red. Florida, PA, michigan, Wiscy are all tossups. Biden might be able to swing Iowa. Trump could make a play for Nevada (the liberz will close your casinos again!). I don't think Minnesota is exactly safe either (ANTIFA GANGS TAKIN OVER UR CITEAHS).
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Tweetie Amin was way behind? In averaging 4-candidate polling in June of 2016, Hillary Clinton led by ~4 points. She won by 2. Today there is no reason to believe in a large protest vote for 3rd party candidates (mainly BernieBro defections as well as a relatively small number of NeverTweeties) and Biden's lead is nearly double that of Hillary Clinton.

Nevada had one of the biggest blue waves in all of 2018. Going into election night 2016, Tweetie actually had a small polling lead in Nevada - and lost. He'd best not pin his election hopes on Nevada.

The POTUS is historically unpopular. No POTUS has ever been re-elected with polling numbers this poor at this stage of his presidency. Sure, his numbers could go up and they might well do. They could also go down. And if we pick arbitrary dates for measuring this, his approval rating has gone down 5 points in 2 months (which, BTW, was the highest approval rating the POTUS has had since his inauguration - per fivethirtyeight.com).
 
Ruairi77 said:
nice, another correct decision from SCOTUS on DACA. Seems Roberts has had it with Trumps BS!
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Just dont associate the Justices with a president. They are supposed to be non-biased and do what they believe is the correct measure. No parties involved
 
Grinch said:
Just dont associate the Justices with a president. They are supposed to be non-biased and do what they believe is the correct measure. No parties involved
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True, in an ideal world, but they have to rule on the validity of political decisions and I think Roberts is sick of Trumps decisions. If Trump had come up with alternatives or any effort at a solution, Roberts might not have called Trumps plan capricious and arbitrary.
I dont think he's sick of Trumps BS because he's being biased, I think he's sick of Trumps BS because it's just that, BS.

And don't even get me started on you opposing DACA.
 
Ruairi77 said:
True, in an ideal world, but they have to rule on the validity of political decisions and I think Roberts is sick of Trumps decisions. If Trump had come up with alternatives or any effort at a solution, Roberts might not have called Trumps plan capricious and arbitrary.
I dont think he's sick of Trumps BS because he's being biased, I think he's sick of Trumps BS because it's just that, BS.

And don't even get me started on you opposing DACA.
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Get started please :)
 
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