I’m a conspiracy theorist... I believe Johnson knows this won’t get through... he knows Farage will play to the Brexit gallery as usual and between them they’ve agreed to play it out this way so we get a GE... the leave vote will be split between bxt and Tory but these two bellends will already have agreed to come together to form a coalition and then leave with no deal... Farage gets his hard Brexit and Boris gets his paymasters a huge payday
This has been my belief for some time Kurt and I posted pretty much this over a month ago. Everything Johnson has done since he became PM has been to this end, including the seemingly ridiculous decision to prorogue Parliament for 5 weeks (knowing he would force the opposition to bring what became the Benn bill) when it wouldn't have sat anyway for most of it due to the party conferences. The only thing I didn't predict was that he would actually get a deal agreed with the EU, and I think this probably came as a shock to Johnson too.
The next stage will be for the remain driven opposition to disrupt the passing of the withdrawal bill to such an extent that the Govt will give up and go for an election. Parliament will be unable to prevent this as the EU would make this a condition of any extension which it will have to accept to avoid crashing out with no deal. Johnson, knowing full well the threat from the Brexit party, will agree to a pre election pact with them. Farage has already offered this olive branch as we know, so Brexit will not fight the Tory seats, just the rest of them including up in Scotland where 38% voted to leave remember. If there's one thing we've learned about Johnson so far it's that stupid is not one of his many objectionable traits.
And it isn't just Farage playing to the Brexit gallery. Boris Johnson has been playing up to the Labour Brexit voters since he became PM. Few of them would consider voting Tory, but the same cannot be said of the BP, and many Brexit minded Tories in those constituencies wouldn't think twice abut voting for Farages party either. Let's be honest, Tory votes in traditional Labour strongholds are pretty much a wasted vote anyway.
If the next general election happens before Brexit has been sorted, I don't think it will completely be a single issue election, but nevertheless Brexit will still be at the forefront of most peoples minds. The remain vote will be split but the leave vote won't as the BP and Tories will not be competing with each other. And although the referendum result was pretty close at 52%/48%, when split on parliamentary constituencies that becomes around 70%/30% in leaves favour.
And here's the thing. If the Tories and the BP do get in bed together, as I suspect they will and your conspiracy theory suggests, then you can forget Johnsons latest deal with the EU. The future Brexit will be driven by the BP who are demanding we leave on WTO rules, payback for which will be BP MPs backing the right wing Tories Govt in implementing whatever policy they chose. The chances are they will have sufficient majority to do whatever they want, and the irony is that the remain seeking MPs will have facilitated this by voting down this latest Brexit deal.
I truly believe that this latest withdrawal agreement is the last, and unexpected, chance that Parliament has to avoid a no deal Brexit. I hope that enough of the Labour leave MPs also see this and have the foresight to help vote it through.
