I get that and it's fascinating. But not relevant. When you say, in any given year. This pandemic isn't any given year. It's 2020. Are you subtlety comparing it to the flu? That's kinda staggering.
You're not understanding, but maybe I'm not explaining it very well, so I'll give it another go with some numbers.
I'm just talking about the UK situation in relation to how bad the situation is likely to be, so forgive me for not delving into the stats outside the UK, but I can't source them
We would normally expect 550 to 600k deaths in the UK this year
If we take a really bad case of 100k COVID-19 deaths, on the face of it, we'd then see 650 to 700k deaths
In reality, some of the people dying, would have died of their underlying condition anyway, so it'd be a bit less than that
So, remembering the context of my original post, which was "number of deaths being hidden", or words to that effect. Regardless of whether or not COVID-19 deaths are recorded as such, then the overall picture can't be hidden.
In reality, we also have a handle on the number of respiratory related deaths per year there are, so if the number of COVID-19 deaths aren't high enough to show up in the overall number of deaths, then they'll almost show up as an anomaly in respiratory deaths ( again, remember the context of my first post )
Are you subtlety comparing it to the flu? That's kinda staggering.
No, Coronavirus is far worse than the flu. If you think I'm saying that, then you've read pretty much nothing of what I typed
Quoting figures for all deaths at this time is disingenuous but you know that
Again, read what I type, not what you thought I typed
I have no idea we're you are modeling for 600k worldwide deaths. If it's based on flu figures that is irresponsible.
No one is modelling for that, as stated before, there are normally ~ 600k deaths per year in the UK. The driver in the UK, and every other country for that matter should be to keep excess COVID-19 deaths to as low a number as possible. If, at the end of this year ( and next year for that matter ), the overall number of deaths is similar to what you'd expect, then that'll be seen as being a very good outcome overall.