Hopefully this holds firm in the build up to June 21st.
I think @davek drew up those Sage scenarios lol
Hopefully this holds firm in the build up to June 21st.
I think @davek drew up those Sage scenarios lol
Hopefully this holds firm in the build up to June 21st.
Hahahahaha look at the absolute state of those predictions. Over 50,000 in hospital by June lol lol
They are not predictions, they are models based on dozens of different inputs.
In other words, they are "what would happen if the vax failed, a rampant new variant appeared, and SD had collapsed?" Answer, 50000 by June.
Versus, "what would happen if the vax worked against variants, the variants were largely contained, vax take up was massive, and SD etc was largely maintained?" Answer. 700 ish by June.
I get you. Good to see we’re even lower than their best case scenario data was suggesting.
Hopefully this holds firm in the build up to June 21st.
What does that one model with 50k+ cases in June that then suddenly falls of cliff entail? A worst case scenario where everything goes wrong and the country being forced back into lockdown?They are not predictions, they are models based on dozens of different inputs.
In other words, they are "what would happen if the vax failed, a rampant new variant appeared, and SD had collapsed?" Answer, 50000 by June.
Versus, "what would happen if the vax worked against variants, the variants were largely contained, vax take up was massive, and SD etc was largely maintained?" Answer. 700 ish by June.
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