Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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Hahahahaha look at the absolute state of those predictions. Over 50,000 in hospital by June lol lol

They are not predictions, they are models based on dozens of different inputs.

In other words, they are "what would happen if the vax failed, a rampant new variant appeared, and SD had collapsed?" Answer, 50000 by June.

Versus, "what would happen if the vax worked against variants, the variants were largely contained, vax take up was massive, and SD etc was largely maintained?" Answer. 700 ish by June.
 
They are not predictions, they are models based on dozens of different inputs.

In other words, they are "what would happen if the vax failed, a rampant new variant appeared, and SD had collapsed?" Answer, 50000 by June.

Versus, "what would happen if the vax worked against variants, the variants were largely contained, vax take up was massive, and SD etc was largely maintained?" Answer. 700 ish by June.

I get you. Good to see we’re even lower than their best case scenario data was suggesting.
 
Hospital figures - no figures reported for today, last Sunday’s unreported figure was 2

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, 6 deaths were announced today, down 1 on yesterday and up 1 on last Sunday. The 7 day rolling average rises slightly to 8.57

For the 60 day cut off, 7 deaths were announced today, down 14 on yesterday and the exact same total as last Sunday. The 7 day rolling average remains unchanged at 18.43
 
They are not predictions, they are models based on dozens of different inputs.

In other words, they are "what would happen if the vax failed, a rampant new variant appeared, and SD had collapsed?" Answer, 50000 by June.

Versus, "what would happen if the vax worked against variants, the variants were largely contained, vax take up was massive, and SD etc was largely maintained?" Answer. 700 ish by June.
What does that one model with 50k+ cases in June that then suddenly falls of cliff entail? A worst case scenario where everything goes wrong and the country being forced back into lockdown?
 
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