Current Affairs Coronavirus Thread - Serious stuff !!!

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TaffyToffee85 said:
Only 743 people in English hospitals, one up from yesterday only and it went down by 20 yesterday.

Despite these Indian scare stories, the number of people in hospital has remained stable and has seen days of decreasing. The North West is the problem, while the rest of your country’s regions has seen decreases. We’re doing alright and are below 100 patients.
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I was looking at the micro hospitalization aspect of the trend yesterday in areas the Indian variant has become prevalent.

 
Neiler said:
Its likely the two variables that we have identified are two of many i would suggest, there wont be one variable to rule them all, i wouldn't say you could attribute all to opening hospitality but we know increased socialization is a factor, you are likely also right in your assertion, i would suggest other factors, as you say poverty, deprivation, education, beliefs, size of out break, where the area was in the roll out, is the majority of the demographic on one dose or two, etc etc. You can go on and on really. Likely many variables. But this thing is primal.

All these variables need to be weighed, because the overall trend is upward, we know this thing spreads like wild fire, we know one dose offers some protection, but not as much as two and we know the nature of exponential growth - many wont have noticed that trend or thought it was significant, but the jump in Weds figures to Thurs are significant, just shy of under 30% - its a low number relatively in comparison to the highest numbers the Uk experienced, but if you understand exponential growth that is alarming, i notice they have increased again today, up 3500 -4100, thats a kinder increase then the day before, but still an increase.

Essentially, the UK has stamped out the fire and needs to stop the embers rekindling and igniting now, before they go to bed.
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100% agree with the highlighted bit.

I also take what you say about exponential growth, and if it was more widespread I'd have greater concerns. But the exponential growth seems to be concentrated in the areas heavily impacted by the Indian variant where we are also undertaking surge testing, which may account for some of the increased positive results.

I think the next week will show if the the issue is contained to those existing areas, as I believe, or whether we have a wider spread of rising infections.
 
When the pandemic was at its worse the data focussed on by the media was invariably that of absolute numbers eg the daily total number of positive tests. The sheer scale of these numbers was enough to make the public sufficiently fearful over the chances and consequences of transmission and catching the virus. These numbers are now so small that the government and media have switched focus to the percentage of positive tests being related to the Indian variant. The reason being of course that the absolute numbers are now not sufficient to sustain fear levels, whereas reports of a figure of anything like 75% of all positives now being due to the Indian variant are.
It's important that in judging the roadmap timetable we continue to focus on the absolutes -- in particular number of deaths. We might also wish to consider whether attention should be turned towards matters such as why numbers relating to deaths from flu and pneumonia have changed from them being zero over the winter to now being 7 times more than Covid deaths.
 
Hospital figures - once again no figures reported for today, last week’s unreported figure was 8

All settings - for the 28 day cut off, 7 deaths were announced today, down 3 on yesterday and up 1 on last Saturday. The 7 day rolling average rises slightly to 8.43

For the 60 day cut off, 21 deaths were announced today, down 6 on yesterday and up 1 on last Saturday. The 7 day rolling average rises slightly to 18.43
 
NilSatisOptimum said:
If only it was Mr Wangs delay spray, China owns £billions of UK commercial property, has huge investment in BP Barclays Thames Water and House Fraser etc. We are getting it good time.
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Yep they are hoovering up debt across the world and loaning very poor countries huge amounts of money!!

When they call it in, were going to be in trouble in the future!
 
jamanetwork.com

Researchers Tie Severe Immunosuppression to Chronic COVID-19 and Virus Variants

This Medical News article discusses clinical care and isolation for patients with prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infections, who researchers say may generate and transmit viral variants.
jamanetwork.com jamanetwork.com
Complicating the matter, some severely immunocompromised patients don’t mount a robust response to standard vaccines, like those for influenza and hepatitis B, Mellors said. Research is starting to show that the same is likely true for the novel coronavirus. In a recent study at the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, only about half of 658 fully vaccinated solid organ transplant recipients generated SARS-CoV-2 antibodies.

Severely immunosuppressed patients are therefore uniquely vulnerable not only to becoming infected, but also to being chronically infected—and infectious. Researchers are interested in using monoclonal antibodies prophylactically in these patients. In the meantime, it’s critical that family members and caregivers are vaccinated to create a “bubble” around people with weakened immune systems
 
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