Cheers.
I absolutely hate the vax nationalism that has surfaced in the last few months, but that said, knowing now what we do about how brilliant the UK is in all things bio/vax stuff, I am very comfortable following their advice.
Yep the roll out in the UK has been massively impressive and I'm delighted by that, not least as our biggest travel route and we share a border and frankly speaking whatever happens in the UK will be blown west here.
The UK figures are dropping like a stone, a key one for me is case incidence % of swabs which the Uk's is by far the most impressive ive seen. That really is the stat i look at if you want to see how much covid is in the community at any one time. The last time i checked we were about 3% the UK about .7% - of course that depends on the quality of testing and trace etc. Overall cases around Europe are following the same trajectory as the UK - though to be fair the UK started from a higher baseline of active cases and deaths, they are tracking the likes of Germany now - with really only Italy were things seem a bit unwieldly still.
Im watching what the UK are doing with interest, i wouldn't have went that way myself, on a purely risk adverse clinical thinking point of view on best advice we have at the moment. But it could be a brilliant stroke and the UK have backed themselves, as you say yourself some of their modeling and particularly bio tracking of strains has been hugely impressive and world leading if you have a look into it.
Of what we know in lay mans terms is dose 1 gives you protection, dose 2 is the enabler for long term protection, so the 12 week interval will be tested eventually. If it proves successful there is a fair argument there for other countries struggling with supply changing direction to what the UK are doing, meaning more are given some protection. Seems just at the mo no one is breaking ranks and making a similar call, maybe there is a group think around it. But if its proven to be successful be great to get the confirmation as it means more people could be vaccinated quicker.
Nothing at the moment to suggest its the right or wrong call at the moment bar the UK anecdotally doing really well to bring their baseline impact down - so that indication is really positive, i think you guy's are hitting about 1 sixth of the vaccination programme number over all at the moment. Brilliant stuff on the roll out.