davek
Player Valuation: £150m
Up until early October the cases have been a handful. More are expected, of course. It's a coronavirus and it'll behave like others do. That generally means, however, anything up to a half a year and a year ...which is why we haven't seen many examples of reinfection at this stage.To be fair, I know a local NHS worker who has had COVID twice, so, though those cases are very unusual, there'll be far more than six.
She had a fairly mild COVID infection in the first wave, confirmed by a swab test.
A few weeks ago she had a more aggressive COVID infection, again confirmed by a swab test.
Inbetween she's had a negative antibody test. Her swab tests havn't been reanalysed to check to see if the infections were different enough to totally rule out a resurgent infection, so she wouldn't get written up in a journal.
It's possible one of her swab tests was a false positive and one of her infections was non-COVID, but the most likely scenario is she was infected twice. Her negative antibody tests casts a bit of doubt on all this, but doesn't really alter that most likely scenario.
I think the problem with the Imperial College report is that it leaves us between two stools: their assertion (not peer reviewed yet either) that there's a significnt reduction of antibodies in previously affected people, and the lag in reinfection - which is at present negligible to say the least.
It's an eye catching report...and I'm always suspicious of timing.
